US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish54%
4h Downside probability 54%Bearish

SJM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $128.05 and stabilize above resistance $134.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $134 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.5, MACD -0.787

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.36 (1.09%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$127.88Bearish
EMA 21$128.05Bearish
EMA 50$125.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.5 · MACD -0.787

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.36 · BB 5.90%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 30.5 · OBV 2.60%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$120.31 - $134

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.7% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$135.36
Nearest resistance

+6.61% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$134
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.69
Nearest support

-4.28% · 3.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$120.31
Deeper support zone

-5.36% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

$118.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$124.32 - $127.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $134, invalidation $129.26

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 29.2 / 52.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.01 / $124.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.36 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.90%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.69 / $125.53Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.32 / $127.05Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$134Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.787Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.2 / 6.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-149.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.60%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $134, invalidation $129.26

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 29.2 / 52.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.01 / $124.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.787Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.2 / 6.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-149.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.36 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.90%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.69 / $125.53Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.32 / $127.05Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.60%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.11xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$134Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.31Range

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