US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

SJM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $117.51 and stabilize above resistance $124.12.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $124.12 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.3, MACD 0.107

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9373 (0.81%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$116.56Bearish
EMA 21$117.51Bearish
EMA 50$119.49Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.3 · MACD 0.107

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.9373 · BB 5.35%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.6 · OBV -55.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$115.11 - $124.12

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.87% · 9.7 ATR above latest close

$125.06
Nearest resistance

+7.06% · 8.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$124.12
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.93
Nearest support

-0.71% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$115.11
Deeper support zone

-1.52% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$114.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$114.99 - $116.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $117.59, invalidation $115.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.3 / 27.3 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.05 / $119.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9373 (0.81%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.35%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.3 / $115.55Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.99 / $116.87Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.107Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.2 / 34.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-55.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.18xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $117.59, invalidation $115.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.3 / 27.3 / 21.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.05 / $119.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.107Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.2 / 34.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9373 (0.81%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.35%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.3 / $115.55Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.99 / $116.87Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-55.79%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.18xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$124.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.11Range

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