US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

SJM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $117.83 and reclaim $135.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $117.83 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 65.7, MACD 0.424

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.86 (2.16%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$131.16Bullish
EMA 21$128Bullish
EMA 50$124.34Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 65.7 · MACD 0.424

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.86 · BB 11.07%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 65.8 · OBV 7.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$117.83 - $135.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.84% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$138.75
Nearest resistance

+2.68% · 1.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$132.35
Nearest support

-10.97% · 5.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$117.83
Deeper support zone

-13.13% · 6.1 ATR below latest close

$114.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$129.49 - $135.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.89, invalidation $123.77

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.9 / 45.3 / 12.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$122.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.92 / $125.85Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.86 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.07%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.21 / $121.19Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$129.49 / $135.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$117.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.424Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.8 / 75.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.2Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

103.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.89, invalidation $123.77

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.9 / 45.3 / 12.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$122.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.92 / $125.85Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

73%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.424Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

70.8 / 75.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-29.2Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

103.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.86 (2.16%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.07%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.21 / $121.19Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$129.49 / $135.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

65.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.40xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$117.83Range

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