US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish60%
Weekly Upside probability 60%Bullish

SJM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.25 and reclaim $135.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.9, MACD -0.682

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.85 (5.91%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$119.85Bearish
EMA 21$116.72Bearish
EMA 50$112.07Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.9 · MACD -0.682

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.85 · BB 23.32%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.3 · OBV 24.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.25 - $135.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.13% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$142.74
Nearest resistance

+17.22% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.93
Nearest support

-23.88% · 4.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.25
Deeper support zone

-29.79% · 5.0 ATR below latest close

$81.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$109.08 - $122.78

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.89, invalidation $107.45

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.9 / 25.7 / 18.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.78 / $112.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.85 (5.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.32%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.6 / $104.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.08 / $122.78Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.682Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.8 / 37.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.51%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.89, invalidation $107.45

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.9 / 25.7 / 18.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$98.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.78 / $112.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.682Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.8 / 37.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.85 (5.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.32%

44%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.6 / $104.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.08 / $122.78Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.51%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

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