US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish84%
Weekly Upside probability 84%Bullish

SJM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.25 and reclaim $119.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 57.1, MACD 1.539

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.53 (5.83%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$110.68Bullish
EMA 21$106.85Bullish
EMA 50$106.22Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 57.1 · MACD 1.539

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $6.53 · BB 30.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 81.9 · OBV 28.23%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$88.25 - $119.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.42% · 2.1 ATR above latest close

$125.92
Nearest resistance

+6.59% · 1.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$119.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$112.01
Nearest support

-21.21% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.25
Deeper support zone

-27.05% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$81.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$105.48 - $118.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.25, invalidation $117.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 24.5 / 14.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.01 / $103.82Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.53 (5.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.17%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$121.2 / $92.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.48 / $118.54Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$119.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.539Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.6 / 84.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

84.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.23%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.25, invalidation $117.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 24.5 / 14.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$91.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$106.01 / $103.82Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.1Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.539Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.6 / 84.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

84.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.53 (5.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.17%

76%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$121.2 / $92.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.48 / $118.54Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.23%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$119.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Related Forecasts