US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish73%
3M Downside probability 73%Bearish

SJM 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $115.63 and stabilize above resistance $163.07.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $163.07 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.64 (18.43%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$109.5Bullish
EMA 21$115.63Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $20.64 · BB 58.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.3 · OBV -140.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$88.25 - $163.07

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+64.01% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$183.71
Nearest resistance

+45.59% · 2.5 ATR above · 29-bar high

$163.07
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$112.01
Nearest support

-21.21% · 1.2 ATR below · 29-bar low

$88.25
Deeper support zone

-39.64% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$67.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$91.37 - $132.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.25, invalidation $119.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 4.7 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$51.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.25 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.64 (18.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.17%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$155.63 / $74.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.37 / $132.65Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.2 / 23.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-140.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.25, invalidation $119.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.5 / 4.7 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$51.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.25 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.2 / 23.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.64 (18.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 58.17%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$155.63 / $74.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$91.37 / $132.65Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-140.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.21xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

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