US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish60%
3M Upside probability 60%Bullish

SJM 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.25 and reclaim $163.07.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.95 (16.58%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$114.02Bullish
EMA 21$117.48Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.7 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $21.95 · BB 57.45%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.9 · OBV -109.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.25 - $163.07

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.8% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$185.02
Nearest resistance

+23.22% · 1.4 ATR above · 29-bar high

$163.07
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$132.35
Nearest support

-33.32% · 2.0 ATR below · 29-bar low

$88.25
Deeper support zone

-49.9% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$66.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$110.4 - $154.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.25, invalidation $119.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 10.4 / 22.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.87 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.95 (16.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.45%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.23 / $73.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.4 / $154.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.5 / 32.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-109.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.25, invalidation $119.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 10.4 / 22.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.87 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

61.5 / 32.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-38.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.95 (16.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.45%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.23 / $73.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.4 / $154.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-109.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

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