US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish58%
3M Downside probability 58%Bearish

SJM 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $120.58 and stabilize above resistance $163.05.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $163.05 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.08 (18.23%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$109.51Bullish
EMA 21$120.58Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.3 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $21.08 · BB 57.11%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.4 · OBV -102.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.34 - $163.05

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+59.25% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$184.13
Nearest resistance

+41.02% · 2.2 ATR above · 24-bar high

$163.05
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.63
Nearest support

-23.6% · 1.3 ATR below · 24-bar low

$88.34
Deeper support zone

-41.83% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$67.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$94.54 - $136.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.42, invalidation $118.45

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.08 (18.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.11%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.04 / $78.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.54 / $136.71Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 15.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-81.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-102.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.60xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $93.42, invalidation $118.45

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

36.5 / 15.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-63.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-81.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.08 (18.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.11%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.04 / $78.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.54 / $136.71Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-102.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.60xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.34Range

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