US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish58%
3M Upside probability 58%Bullish

SJM 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.25 and reclaim $163.07.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $22.07 (17.56%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$114.29Bullish
EMA 21$117.12Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $22.07 · BB 57.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.6 · OBV -86.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.25 - $163.07

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+47.3% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$185.14
Nearest resistance

+29.74% · 1.7 ATR above · 30-bar high

$163.07
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.69
Nearest support

-29.79% · 1.7 ATR below · 30-bar low

$88.25
Deeper support zone

-47.35% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$66.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$103.61 - $147.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.07, invalidation $88.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 10.3 / 22.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.87 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.07 (17.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.04%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$160.64 / $72.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.61 / $147.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.0 / 44.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

8.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-86.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.07, invalidation $88.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 10.3 / 22.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.87 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.0 / 44.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

8.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.07 (17.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.04%

54%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$160.64 / $72.94Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.61 / $147.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-86.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

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