US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish62%
3M Downside probability 62%Bearish

SJM 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $116.23 and stabilize above resistance $163.07.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $163.07 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.99 (18.11%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$112.12Bullish
EMA 21$116.23Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.1 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $20.99 · BB 57.43%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.7 · OBV -100.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.25 - $163.07

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+58.77% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$184.06
Nearest resistance

+40.66% · 2.2 ATR above · 30-bar high

$163.07
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.93
Nearest support

-23.88% · 1.3 ATR below · 30-bar low

$88.25
Deeper support zone

-41.99% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$67.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$94.94 - $136.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.07, invalidation $88.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 10.8 / 23.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.87 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.99 (18.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.43%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.69 / $75.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.94 / $136.92Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.1 / 39.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-100.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.07, invalidation $88.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 10.8 / 23.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$118.87 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.1 / 39.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-30.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.99 (18.11%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.43%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.69 / $75.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.94 / $136.92Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-100.41%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

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