US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish72%
12h Downside probability 72%Bearish

SJM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $124.37 and stabilize above resistance $135.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $135.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.5, MACD -0.754

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.14 (1.73%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$123.3Bullish
EMA 21$124.37Bearish
EMA 50$122.43Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.5 · MACD -0.754

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.14 · BB 12.81%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 17.6 · OBV 29.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$115.82 - $135.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.54% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$138.03
Nearest resistance

+9.81% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$123.75
Nearest support

-6.41% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$115.82
Deeper support zone

-8.14% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

$113.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$121.61 - $125.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $119.64, invalidation $124.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 16.7 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$117.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.18 / $125.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.14 (1.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.81%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.58 / $120.16Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.61 / $125.89Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.754Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.7 / 24.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $119.64, invalidation $124.1

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.3 / 16.7 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$117.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.18 / $125.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.754Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.7 / 24.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.14 (1.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.81%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.58 / $120.16Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.61 / $125.89Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.08xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.82Range

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