US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish58%
12h Downside probability 58%Bearish

SJM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $111.74 and stabilize above resistance $120.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $120 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.2, MACD -0.035

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.07 (1.85%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$111.88Bullish
EMA 21$111.74Bullish
EMA 50$109.86Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.2 · MACD -0.035

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.07 · BB 7.84%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.6 · OBV -9.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$107.1 - $120

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.98% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$122.07
Nearest resistance

+7.13% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$120
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$112.01
Nearest support

-4.38% · 2.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$107.1
Deeper support zone

-6.23% · 3.4 ATR below latest close

$105.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$109.94 - $114.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.45, invalidation $113.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 34.5 / 30.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$112.21 / $109.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.07 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.84%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$116.58 / $106.94Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.94 / $114.08Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$120Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.035Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.4 / 74.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

37.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.06xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $107.45, invalidation $113.58

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 34.5 / 30.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$112.21 / $109.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.035Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.4 / 74.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

37.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.07 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.84%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$116.58 / $106.94Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.94 / $114.08Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.06xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$120Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.1Range

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