US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish83%
12h Downside probability 83%Bearish

SJM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $119.97 and stabilize above resistance $135.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $135.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.2, MACD -0.493

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.19 (1.88%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.61Bearish
EMA 21$119.97Bearish
EMA 50$120.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.2 · MACD -0.493

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.19 · BB 8.28%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.6 · OBV -358.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$115.11 - $135.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.1% · 10.1 ATR above latest close

$138.08
Nearest resistance

+17.22% · 9.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.93
Nearest support

-0.71% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$115.11
Deeper support zone

-2.6% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$112.92
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$113.74 - $118.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.11, invalidation $124.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 22.0 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.54 / $125.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.19 (1.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.28%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.48 / $115.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.74 / $118.12Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.493Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.2 / 13.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-358.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.11, invalidation $124.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 22.0 / 28.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.54 / $125.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.493Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.2 / 13.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.19 (1.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.28%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.48 / $115.2Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.74 / $118.12Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-358.82%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.11Range

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