US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish56%
Monthly Upside probability 56%Bullish

SJM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.34 and reclaim $145.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.34 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.6, MACD 1.078

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.89 (11.15%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$106.19Bullish
EMA 21$109.16Bullish
EMA 50$116.97Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.6 · MACD 1.078

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $12.89 · BB 25.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.1 · OBV 126.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.34 - $145.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.99% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$158.4
Nearest resistance

+25.85% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$145.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.63
Nearest support

-23.6% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.34
Deeper support zone

-34.74% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$75.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$102.74 - $128.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.45, invalidation $88.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.5 / 21.1 / 21.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.07 / $125.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.89 (11.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.36%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.98 / $83.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.74 / $128.51Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$145.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.078Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.6 / 55.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

50.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

126.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.45, invalidation $88.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.5 / 21.1 / 21.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$70.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.07 / $125.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.078Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

90.6 / 55.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-9.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

50.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.89 (11.15%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.36%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.98 / $83.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.74 / $128.51Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

126.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$145.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.34Range

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