US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish67%
Monthly Upside probability 67%Bullish

SJM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.25 and reclaim $134.62.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.7, MACD 1.335

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.36 (11.92%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$106.92Bullish
EMA 21$109.15Bullish
EMA 50$114.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD 1.335

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $13.36 · BB 23.70%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.1 · OBV 162.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$88.25 - $134.62

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.11% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$147.98
Nearest resistance

+20.19% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$134.62
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$112.01
Nearest support

-21.21% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.25
Deeper support zone

-33.14% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$74.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$98.65 - $125.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $119.39, invalidation $88.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.7 / 20.5 / 20.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.33 / $125.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.36 (11.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.70%

68%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.21 / $83.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.65 / $125.37Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$134.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.335Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.3 / 66.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

162.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $119.39, invalidation $88.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.7 / 20.5 / 20.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$105.33 / $125.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.335Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.3 / 66.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.36 (11.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.70%

68%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.21 / $83.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.65 / $125.37Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

162.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$134.62Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

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