US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish83%
Monthly Upside probability 83%Bullish

SJM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.25 and reclaim $135.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.25 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 55.8, MACD 3.256

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.53 (11.56%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$117.38Bullish
EMA 21$113.72Bullish
EMA 50$115.75Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.8 · MACD 3.256

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $14.53 · BB 34.92%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.2 · OBV 802.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$88.25 - $135.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.68% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$150.42
Nearest resistance

+8.12% · 0.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.69
Nearest support

-29.79% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.25
Deeper support zone

-41.35% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$73.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$111.16 - $140.22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.89, invalidation $88.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 26.5 / 12.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$112.07 / $125.66Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.53 (11.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.92%

90%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$146.39 / $80.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.16 / $140.22Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.256Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.6 / 78.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.4Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

137.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

802.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.89, invalidation $88.25

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 26.5 / 12.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$112.07 / $125.66Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.256Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.6 / 78.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.4Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

137.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.53 (11.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.92%

90%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$146.39 / $80.99Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.16 / $140.22Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

802.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.25Range

Related Forecasts