US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish83%
1h Downside probability 83%Bearish

SJM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $116.64 and stabilize above resistance $118.14.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $118.14 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.1, MACD 0.005

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4933 (0.43%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$116.48Bearish
EMA 21$116.64Bearish
EMA 50$117.41Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.1 · MACD 0.005

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4933 · BB 1.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 23.1 · OBV -1.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$115.15 - $118.14

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.33% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$118.63
Nearest resistance

+1.91% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$118.14
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.93
Nearest support

-0.67% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$115.15
Deeper support zone

-1.1% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$114.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$115.44 - $116.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.22, invalidation $117.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.7 / 22.2 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.88 / $118.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4933 (0.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.55%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.49 / $115.76Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.44 / $116.42Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.15Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.005Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.52xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $116.22, invalidation $117.59

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.7 / 22.2 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.88 / $118.22Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.005Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-125.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4933 (0.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.55%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$117.49 / $115.76Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$115.44 / $116.42Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.52xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$118.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.15Range

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