US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish84%
1h Downside probability 84%Bearish

SJM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $128 and stabilize above resistance $134.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $134 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.5, MACD -0.257

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.6242 (0.5%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$126.94Bearish
EMA 21$128Bearish
EMA 50$128.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.5 · MACD -0.257

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.6242 · BB 3.73%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 86.5 · OBV 3.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$125.5 - $134

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.11% · 14.3 ATR above latest close

$134.62
Nearest resistance

+6.61% · 13.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$134
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$125.69
Nearest support

-0.15% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$125.5
Deeper support zone

-0.65% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$124.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$125.06 - $126.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $130.66, invalidation $126.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

64.2 / 3.3 / 61.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.77 / $129.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6242 (0.5%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.73%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.14 / $126.75Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.06 / $126.31Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$134Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$125.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.257Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.9 / 9.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-167.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

86.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.20%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $130.66, invalidation $126.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

64.2 / 3.3 / 61.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$127.77 / $129.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.257Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.9 / 9.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-167.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.6242 (0.5%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.73%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.14 / $126.75Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.06 / $126.31Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

86.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.20%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.24xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$134Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$125.5Range

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