US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

SJM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $119.85 and stabilize above resistance $135.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $135.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.1, MACD -0.594

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.08 (1.8%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.44Bearish
EMA 21$119.85Bearish
EMA 50$120.17Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.1 · MACD -0.594

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.08 · BB 9.00%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 20.3 · OBV -7.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$115.11 - $135.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.01% · 10.6 ATR above latest close

$137.97
Nearest resistance

+17.22% · 9.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.93
Nearest support

-0.71% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$115.11
Deeper support zone

-2.51% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$113.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$113.85 - $118.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.11, invalidation $122.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 14.0 / 34.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.27 / $125.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.08 (1.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.00%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.02 / $115.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.85 / $118.01Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.11Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.594Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.2 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.11, invalidation $122.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 14.0 / 34.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.27 / $125.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.594Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.2 / 12.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.08 (1.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.00%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.02 / $115.45Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.85 / $118.01Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.03xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.11Range

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