US stock / ETF

The J.M. Smucker Company

SJM · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish57%
Daily Downside probability 57%Bearish

SJM 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $124.32 and stabilize above resistance $135.89.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $135.89 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.7, MACD -0.922

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.62 (2.12%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$123.81Bearish
EMA 21$124.32Bearish
EMA 50$121.14Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.7 · MACD -0.922

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.62 · BB 12.37%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.5 · OBV 2.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$115.64 - $135.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.93% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$138.51
Nearest resistance

+9.81% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$135.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$123.75
Nearest support

-6.55% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$115.64
Deeper support zone

-8.67% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$113.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$121.13 - $126.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.89, invalidation $119.54

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.5 / 17.0 / 38.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.03 / $121.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.62 (2.12%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.37%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.88 / $118.86Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.13 / $126.37Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.64Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.922Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.3 / 22.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.89, invalidation $119.54

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.5 / 17.0 / 38.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.03 / $121.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.922Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.3 / 22.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-50.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.62 (2.12%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.37%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$129.88 / $118.86Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$121.13 / $126.37Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.40%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$135.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$115.64Range

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