US stock / ETF

Packaging Corp of America

PKG · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish72%
4h Upside probability 72%Bullish

PKG 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $225.33 and reclaim $240.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $225.33 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.8, MACD 0.535

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.43 (1.03%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$233.3Bullish
EMA 21$233.09Bullish
EMA 50$235.65Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.8 · MACD 0.535

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.43 · BB 3.27%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 55.4 · OBV 9.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$225.33 - $240

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.17% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$242.43
Nearest resistance

+2.14% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$240
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$234.97
Nearest support

-4.11% · 4.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$225.33
Deeper support zone

-5.14% · 5.0 ATR below latest close

$222.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$232.55 - $237.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $228.84, invalidation $235.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.3 / 30.1 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$227.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.81 / $235.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.43 (1.03%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.27%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$237.87 / $228.24Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$232.55 / $237.4Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$240Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.535Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.1 / 78.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $228.84, invalidation $235.33

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.3 / 30.1 / 30.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$227.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.81 / $235.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.535Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.1 / 78.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.43 (1.03%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.27%

78%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$237.87 / $228.24Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$232.55 / $237.4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$240Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.33Range

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