US stock / ETF

Packaging Corp of America

PKG · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish87%
Daily Downside probability 87%Bearish

PKG 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $233.27 and stabilize above resistance $255.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $255.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.6, MACD -0.524

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.34 (1.91%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$229.8Bearish
EMA 21$233.27Bearish
EMA 50$236.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.6 · MACD -0.524

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.34 · BB 7.10%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.9 · OBV -12.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$224.8 - $255.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.52% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$259.93
Nearest resistance

+12.61% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$255.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$226.98
Nearest support

-0.96% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$224.8
Deeper support zone

-2.87% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$220.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$222.64 - $231.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $242.25, invalidation $224.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 21.1 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$214.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.88 / $242.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.34 (1.91%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.10%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$241.43 / $224.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$222.64 / $231.32Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$224.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.524Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 15.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $242.25, invalidation $224.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 21.1 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$214.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$232.88 / $242.39Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.524Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 15.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.34 (1.91%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.10%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$241.43 / $224.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$222.64 / $231.32Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$224.8Range

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