US stock / ETF

Packaging Corp of America

PKG · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish83%
Daily Downside probability 83%Bearish

PKG 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $237.55 and stabilize above resistance $259.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $259.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.8, MACD -0.478

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.7 (2.44%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$233.42Bullish
EMA 21$237.55Bearish
EMA 50$238.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD -0.478

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.7 · BB 12.93%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 66.4 · OBV 29.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$225.33 - $259.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.63% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$265.68
Nearest resistance

+11.19% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$259.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$233.82
Nearest support

-3.63% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$225.33
Deeper support zone

-6.07% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$219.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$228.12 - $239.52

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $225.33, invalidation $236.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.3 / 14.9 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$237.17 / $241.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.7 (2.44%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.93%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$247.89 / $226.72Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$228.12 / $239.52Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.478Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.7 / 31.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.56%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $225.33, invalidation $236.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

55.3 / 14.9 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$237.17 / $241.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.478Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.7 / 31.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.7 (2.44%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.93%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$247.89 / $226.72Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$228.12 / $239.52Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.56%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.33Range

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