US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish87%
Daily Downside probability 87%Bearish

CF 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $108.62 and stabilize above resistance $130.39.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $130.39 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 40.7, MACD 0.246

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.45 (3.26%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$105.27Bullish
EMA 21$108.62Bearish
EMA 50$112.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.7 · MACD 0.246

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $3.45 · BB 16.39%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.3 · OBV -7.21%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$100.8 - $130.39

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.63% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$133.84
Nearest resistance

+23.37% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$130.39
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$105.69
Nearest support

-4.63% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$100.8
Deeper support zone

-7.89% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$97.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$102.24 - $109.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.8, invalidation $108.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.0 / 17.9 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.94 / $115.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.45 (3.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.39%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.69 / $102.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.24 / $109.14Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.246Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 36.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.8, invalidation $108.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.0 / 17.9 / 28.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$97.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$108.94 / $115.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.246Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.0 / 36.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-35.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.45 (3.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.39%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$114.69 / $102.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$102.24 / $109.14Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.21%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.84xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$130.39Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$100.8Range

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