US stock / ETF

CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

CF 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $120.53 and stabilize above resistance $141.66.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $141.66 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 35.1, MACD -0.969

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.69 (3.22%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$116.08Bearish
EMA 21$120.53Bearish
EMA 50$122.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 35.1 · MACD -0.969

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.69 · BB 27.15%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.8 · OBV -13.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$111.83 - $141.66

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.13% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$145.35
Nearest resistance

+23.91% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$141.66
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$114.33
Nearest support

-2.19% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$111.83
Deeper support zone

-5.41% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$108.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$110.64 - $118.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.83, invalidation $117.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.1 / 5.0 / 44.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.85 / $125.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.69 (3.22%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.15%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.91 / $113.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.64 / $118.02Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.969Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.9 / 14.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $111.83, invalidation $117.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.1 / 5.0 / 44.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$106.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.85 / $125.55Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

35.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.969Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.9 / 14.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-65.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.69 (3.22%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.15%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$126.91 / $113.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.64 / $118.02Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$141.66Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.83Range

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