US stock / ETF

Packaging Corp of America

PKG · NYSE · USD

1 weekRange52%
Weekly Range probability 96%Range

PKG 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $201.25 - $259.98 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.3, MACD -1.233

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.19 (5.61%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$239.98Bearish
EMA 21$235.39Bearish
EMA 50$225.41Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.3 · MACD -1.233

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.19 · BB 21.80%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 62.0 · OBV 18.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$201.25 - $259.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.28% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$273.17
Nearest resistance

+10.66% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$259.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$234.93
Nearest support

-14.34% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$201.25
Deeper support zone

-19.95% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$188.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$221.74 - $248.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $259.98, invalidation $222.74

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 20.3 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$191.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.07 / $225.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.19 (5.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.80%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$263.55 / $208.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.74 / $248.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.233Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.7 / 42.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-4.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $259.98, invalidation $222.74

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.6 / 20.3 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$191.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.07 / $225.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.233Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.7 / 42.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-4.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.19 (5.61%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.80%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$263.55 / $208.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.74 / $248.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.25Range

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