US stock / ETF

Packaging Corp of America

PKG · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish59%
12h Downside probability 59%Bearish

PKG 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $235.27 and stabilize above resistance $255.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $255.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 47.0, MACD 0.678

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.73 (1.59%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$233.11Bullish
EMA 21$235.27Bearish
EMA 50$238.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.0 · MACD 0.678

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.73 · BB 5.04%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 67.5 · OBV 4.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$225.33 - $255.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.38% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$259.32
Nearest resistance

+8.8% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$255.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$234.93
Nearest support

-4.09% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$225.33
Deeper support zone

-5.68% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$221.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$231.2 - $238.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $228.84, invalidation $236.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 19.8 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$235.39 / $242.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.73 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.04%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$241.86 / $228.24Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$231.2 / $238.66Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.678Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

75.6 / 58.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

37.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $228.84, invalidation $236.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.1 / 19.8 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$224.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$235.39 / $242.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.678Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

75.6 / 58.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

37.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.73 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.04%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$241.86 / $228.24Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$231.2 / $238.66Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.38xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.33Range

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