US stock / ETF

Packaging Corp of America

PKG · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish83%
12h Downside probability 83%Bearish

PKG 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $249.68 and stabilize above resistance $259.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $259.98 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD -1.488

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.65 (1.5%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$247.76Bearish
EMA 21$249.68Bearish
EMA 50$245.99Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD -1.488

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.65 · BB 6.16%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.8 · OBV -6.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$240.17 - $259.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.18% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$263.63
Nearest resistance

+6.68% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$259.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.69
Nearest support

-1.44% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$240.17
Deeper support zone

-2.94% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$236.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$240.04 - $247.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.6, invalidation $245.53

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 22.5 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$230.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$248.98 / $240.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.65 (1.5%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.16%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$257.87 / $241.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$240.04 / $247.34Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$240.17Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.488Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 13.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-206.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.59xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $255.6, invalidation $245.53

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.8 / 22.5 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$230.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$248.98 / $240.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.488Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.8 / 13.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-206.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.65 (1.5%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.16%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$257.87 / $241.5Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$240.04 / $247.34Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.59xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$240.17Range

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