US stock / ETF

Packaging Corp of America

PKG · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish86%
1h Downside probability 86%Bearish

PKG 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $246.13 and stabilize above resistance $255.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $255.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.6, MACD -0.139

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.31 (0.54%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$244.57Bearish
EMA 21$246.13Bearish
EMA 50$248.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.6 · MACD -0.139

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.31 · BB 2.93%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 16.0 · OBV -2.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$240.17 - $255.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.42% · 10.1 ATR above latest close

$256.91
Nearest resistance

+4.89% · 9.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$255.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.69
Nearest support

-1.44% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$240.17
Deeper support zone

-1.98% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$238.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$242.38 - $245

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $245.35, invalidation $243.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 5.6 / 60.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$239.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$244.47 / $247.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.31 (0.54%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.93%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$248.89 / $243.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$242.38 / $245Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$240.17Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.139Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.2 / 37.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.03xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $245.35, invalidation $243.41

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 5.6 / 60.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$239.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$244.47 / $247.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.139Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.2 / 37.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.31 (0.54%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.93%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$248.89 / $243.16Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$242.38 / $245Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.36%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.03xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$255.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$240.17Range

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