US stock / ETF

Packaging Corp of America

PKG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

PKG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $148.5 and reclaim $259.98.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $148.5 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.2, MACD 1.870

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $24.94 (10.23%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$229.64Bullish
EMA 21$215.14Bullish
EMA 50$190.34Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.2 · MACD 1.870

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $24.94 · BB 32.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 68.2 · OBV 71.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$148.5 - $259.98

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.92% · 1.7 ATR above latest close

$284.92
Nearest resistance

+6.68% · 0.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$259.98
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.69
Nearest support

-39.06% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$148.5
Deeper support zone

-49.29% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$123.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$218.75 - $268.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $249.51, invalidation $201.25

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 28.9 / 10.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$172.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$221.08 / $185.27Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.94 (10.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.48%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$267.88 / $164.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.75 / $268.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.870Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.0 / 81.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

175.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

71.88%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $249.51, invalidation $201.25

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 28.9 / 10.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$172.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$221.08 / $185.27Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.870Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.0 / 81.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

175.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$24.94 (10.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.48%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$267.88 / $164.31Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.75 / $268.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

68.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

71.88%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.98Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$148.5Range

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