US stock / ETF

Packaging Corp of America

PKG · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

PKG 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $143.91 and reclaim $250.65.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $143.91 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.2, MACD 0.580

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $22.72 (9.4%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$220.6Bullish
EMA 21$209.26Bullish
EMA 50$185.33Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.2 · MACD 0.580

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $22.72 · BB 31.34%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 67.6 · OBV 52.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$143.91 - $250.65

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.16% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$273.37
Nearest resistance

+3.75% · 0.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$250.65
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$241.58
Nearest support

-40.43% · 4.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$143.91
Deeper support zone

-49.83% · 5.3 ATR below latest close

$121.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$218.87 - $264.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $249.51, invalidation $201.25

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.6 / 27.8 / 11.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$158.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$216.07 / $180.69Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

88%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.72 (9.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.34%

94%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$257.17 / $163.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.87 / $264.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$250.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$143.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.580Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.8 / 67.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-11.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

111.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

52.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $249.51, invalidation $201.25

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.6 / 27.8 / 11.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$158.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$216.07 / $180.69Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

88%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.580Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

88.8 / 67.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-11.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

111.1Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$22.72 (9.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.34%

94%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$257.17 / $163.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.87 / $264.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

52.19%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$250.65Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$143.91Range

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