US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish86%
4h Upside probability 86%Bullish

PHM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $105.89 and reclaim $121.05.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $105.89 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 64.9, MACD 0.918

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.72 (2.26%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$117.81Bullish
EMA 21$115.3Bullish
EMA 50$114.65Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 64.9 · MACD 0.918

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.72 · BB 10.81%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 55.6 · OBV 90.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$105.89 - $121.05

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.74% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$123.77
Nearest resistance

+0.48% · 0.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$121.05
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.48
Nearest support

-12.11% · 5.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$105.89
Deeper support zone

-14.37% · 6.4 ATR below latest close

$103.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$117.75 - $123.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.08, invalidation $105.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 32.0 / 30.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$113.47 / $113.47Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

96%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.72 (2.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.81%

98%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$121.84 / $108.96Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.75 / $123.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$121.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.918Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

96.2 / 98.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-3.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

186.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

90.90%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $115.08, invalidation $105.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 32.0 / 30.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$113.47 / $113.47Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

96%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.918Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

96.2 / 98.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-3.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

186.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.72 (2.26%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.81%

98%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$121.84 / $108.96Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$117.75 / $123.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

90.90%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$121.05Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.89Range

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