US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

PHM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $120.53 and stabilize above resistance $129.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $129.27 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.2, MACD -0.076

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.41 (1.19%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$118.21Bullish
EMA 21$120.53Bearish
EMA 50$123.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.2 · MACD -0.076

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.41 · BB 10.86%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 41.4 · OBV -5.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$114.78 - $129.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.5% · 8.8 ATR above latest close

$130.68
Nearest resistance

+9.31% · 7.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$129.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$118.26
Nearest support

-2.94% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$114.78
Deeper support zone

-4.13% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$113.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$116.85 - $119.67

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $118.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 13.9 / 55.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$119.41 / $123.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.41 (1.19%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.86%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$123.26 / $117.46Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.85 / $119.67Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$129.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.076Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.7 / 30.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $118.65

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.3 / 13.9 / 55.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$113.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$119.41 / $123.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.076Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.7 / 30.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.41 (1.19%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.86%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$123.26 / $117.46Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.85 / $119.67Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$129.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.78Range

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