US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish79%
4h Downside probability 79%Bearish

PHM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $116.85 and stabilize above resistance $122.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $122.55 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.9, MACD -0.129

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.79 (1.55%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$115.75Bearish
EMA 21$116.85Bearish
EMA 50$118.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.9 · MACD -0.129

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.79 · BB 7.04%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 35.8 · OBV 4.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$112.52 - $122.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.44% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$124.34
Nearest resistance

+5.89% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$122.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.73
Nearest support

-2.77% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$112.52
Deeper support zone

-4.32% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$110.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$113.94 - $117.52

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $119.94, invalidation $112.52

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.1 / 20.0 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.52 / $117.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.79 (1.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.04%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$121.09 / $112.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.94 / $117.52Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.52Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.129Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.3 / 37.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $119.94, invalidation $112.52

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.1 / 20.0 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.52 / $117.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.129Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.3 / 37.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.79 (1.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.04%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$121.09 / $112.46Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.94 / $117.52Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.57%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$122.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.52Range

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