US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish75%
4h Downside probability 75%Bearish

PHM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $129.29 and stabilize above resistance $133.3.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $133.3 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.6, MACD -0.006

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.13 (1.65%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$128.94Bullish
EMA 21$129.29Bearish
EMA 50$129.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.6 · MACD -0.006

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.13 · BB 4.17%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.2 · OBV -1927.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$126.03 - $133.3

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.99% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$135.43
Nearest resistance

+3.33% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$133.3
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$129
Nearest support

-2.3% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$126.03
Deeper support zone

-3.96% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$123.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$126.87 - $131.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $133.25, invalidation $126.03

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 37.7 / 33.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$122.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.64 / $129.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.13 (1.65%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.17%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.53 / $124.99Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.87 / $131.13Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$133.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.03Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.1 / 41.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1927.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $133.25, invalidation $126.03

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 37.7 / 33.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$122.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$129.64 / $129.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.006Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

41.1 / 41.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-58.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.13 (1.65%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.17%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$133.53 / $124.99Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.87 / $131.13Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1927.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$133.3Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.03Range

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