US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

PHM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $130.21 and stabilize above resistance $139.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $139.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.1, MACD -1.125

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.91 (1.5%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$129.12Bearish
EMA 21$130.21Bearish
EMA 50$127.41Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.1 · MACD -1.125

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.91 · BB 9.33%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.8 · OBV -18.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$122.73 - $139.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.72% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$141.78
Nearest resistance

+10.22% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$139.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$126.9
Nearest support

-3.29% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$122.73
Deeper support zone

-4.79% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$120.82
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$124.99 - $128.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $131.63, invalidation $131.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 25.8 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$132.39 / $128.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.91 (1.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.33%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.02 / $126.44Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.99 / $128.81Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$139.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.125Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.0 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $131.63, invalidation $131.67

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.1 / 25.8 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$132.39 / $128.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

1%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.125Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.0 / 8.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.91 (1.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.33%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$134.02 / $126.44Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.99 / $128.81Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.29%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$139.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$122.73Range

Related Forecasts