US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish80%
Weekly Downside probability 80%Bearish

PHM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $123.64 and stabilize above resistance $144.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $144.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.7, MACD -1.401

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.3 (6.3%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$121.3Bearish
EMA 21$123.64Bearish
EMA 50$123.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.7 · MACD -1.401

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.3 · BB 19.72%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 28.8 · OBV 3.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$108.49 - $144.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.16% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$151.79
Nearest resistance

+24.86% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$144.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.73
Nearest support

-6.26% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$108.49
Deeper support zone

-12.56% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$101.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$108.43 - $123.03

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $136.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 9.2 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.74 / $126.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.3 (6.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.72%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$137.01 / $110.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.43 / $123.03Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$144.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$108.49Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.401Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 14.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.18%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $136.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.3 / 9.2 / 27.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.74 / $126.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.401Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.5 / 14.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-110.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.3 (6.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.72%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$137.01 / $110.17Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.43 / $123.03Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.18%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$144.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$108.49Range

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