US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish84%
Weekly Downside probability 84%Bearish

PHM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $121.66 and stabilize above resistance $140.09.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140.09 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.3, MACD -1.209

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.15 (5.93%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$118.54Bullish
EMA 21$121.66Bearish
EMA 50$122.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.3 · MACD -1.209

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.15 · BB 21.64%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.8 · OBV 0.25%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$107.16 - $140.09

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.21% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$147.24
Nearest resistance

+16.28% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140.09
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.48
Nearest support

-11.06% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$107.16
Deeper support zone

-16.99% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$100.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$113.33 - $127.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $136.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 15.1 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.61 / $125.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.15 (5.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.64%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.67 / $107.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.33 / $127.62Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.209Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.8 / 24.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $114.78, invalidation $136.22

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 15.1 / 25.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$121.61 / $125.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.209Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

45.8 / 24.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-54.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.15 (5.93%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.64%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.67 / $107.4Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.33 / $127.62Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.25%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140.09Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$107.16Range

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