US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish80%
12h Downside probability 80%Bearish

PHM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $118.78 and stabilize above resistance $129.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $129.27 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.3, MACD -0.063

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.63 (2.28%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$116.96Bearish
EMA 21$118.78Bearish
EMA 50$121.83Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.3 · MACD -0.063

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.63 · BB 6.25%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.4 · OBV -33.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$112.52 - $129.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.98% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$131.9
Nearest resistance

+11.7% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$129.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.73
Nearest support

-2.77% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$112.52
Deeper support zone

-5.05% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$109.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$113.1 - $118.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.09, invalidation $117.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.5 / 27.6 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$117.81 / $122.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.63 (2.28%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.25%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.04 / $113.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.1 / $118.36Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$129.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.52Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.063Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.0 / 31.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.09, invalidation $117.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.5 / 27.6 / 31.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$117.81 / $122.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.063Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.0 / 31.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.63 (2.28%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.25%

13%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.04 / $113.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.1 / $118.36Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.26xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$129.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.52Range

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