US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish65%
12h Downside probability 65%Bearish

PHM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $129.58 and stabilize above resistance $136.22.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $136.22 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.2, MACD -0.387

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.51 (2.72%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$129.25Bearish
EMA 21$129.58Bearish
EMA 50$128.59Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.2 · MACD -0.387

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.51 · BB 6.27%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.4 · OBV 4.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$121.77 - $136.22

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.32% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$139.73
Nearest resistance

+5.6% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$136.22
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$129
Nearest support

-5.6% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.77
Deeper support zone

-8.32% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$118.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$125.49 - $132.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $133.25, invalidation $128.13

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.3 / 12.8 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$130.38 / $129Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.51 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.27%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.61 / $122.58Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.49 / $132.51Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.387Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.9 / 41.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.06%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $133.25, invalidation $128.13

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.3 / 12.8 / 29.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$118.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$130.38 / $129Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.387Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.9 / 41.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.51 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.27%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$136.61 / $122.58Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$125.49 / $132.51Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.06%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.22Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.77Range

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