US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish60%
Monthly Downside probability 60%Bearish

PHM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $119.42 and stabilize above resistance $149.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $149.47 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.6, MACD -2.142

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $16.82 (14.53%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$121.93Bearish
EMA 21$119.42Bearish
EMA 50$103.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.6 · MACD -2.142

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.82 · BB 37.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.9 · OBV 7.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.07 - $149.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+43.69% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$166.29
Nearest resistance

+29.15% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$149.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.73
Nearest support

-23.9% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.07
Deeper support zone

-38.44% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$71.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$98.91 - $132.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.49, invalidation $140.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.6 / 17.6 / 19.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.63 / $92.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.82 (14.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.02%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$153.2 / $86.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.91 / $132.55Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.142Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 32.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-29.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.49, invalidation $140.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.6 / 17.6 / 19.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$66.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.63 / $92.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.142Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.1 / 32.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-29.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$16.82 (14.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.02%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$153.2 / $86.47Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.91 / $132.55Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.59%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.07Range

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