US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

PHM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $68.89 and reclaim $149.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $68.89 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 55.6, MACD -1.312

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.03 (13.46%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$122.86Bullish
EMA 21$117.8Bullish
EMA 50$97.09Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.6 · MACD -1.312

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $17.03 · BB 39.19%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 60.3 · OBV 5.50%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$68.89 - $149.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.6% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$166.49
Nearest resistance

+18.14% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$149.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$126.51
Nearest support

-45.55% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$68.89
Deeper support zone

-59.01% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$51.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$109.48 - $143.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.12, invalidation $111.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.1 / 24.8 / 14.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.72 / $92.26Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.03 (13.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.19%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$153.61 / $83.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.48 / $143.54Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$68.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.312Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.0 / 59.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $144.12, invalidation $111.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.1 / 24.8 / 14.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$68.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.72 / $92.26Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.312Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.0 / 59.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

38.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.03 (13.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.19%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$153.61 / $83.05Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$109.48 / $143.54Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.50%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.57xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$68.89Range

Related Forecasts