US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish56%
Monthly Upside probability 56%Bullish

PHM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.07 and reclaim $149.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.07 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.6, MACD -1.840

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.28 (14.35%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$122.99Bearish
EMA 21$119.85Bullish
EMA 50$103.39Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.6 · MACD -1.840

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17.28 · BB 36.82%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.8 · OBV 12.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.07 - $149.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.41% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$166.75
Nearest resistance

+24.07% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$149.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.48
Nearest support

-26.9% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.07
Deeper support zone

-41.24% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$70.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$103.19 - $137.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.49, invalidation $140.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.9 / 17.2 / 21.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$62.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.3 / $92.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.28 (14.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.82%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$154.94 / $85.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.19 / $137.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.840Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.7 / 38.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.49, invalidation $140.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.9 / 17.2 / 21.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$62.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$122.3 / $92.73Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

57%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.840Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.7 / 38.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.28 (14.35%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.82%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$154.94 / $85.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$103.19 / $137.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

12.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$149.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.07Range

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