US stock / ETF

Pultegroup, Inc.

PHM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

PHM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $129.19 and stabilize above resistance $137.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $137.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.9, MACD -0.110

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7546 (0.59%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$127.82Bearish
EMA 21$129.19Bearish
EMA 50$130.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.9 · MACD -0.110

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7546 · BB 3.93%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.2 · OBV 2.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$126.79 - $137.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.88% · 14.9 ATR above latest close

$138.17
Nearest resistance

+8.29% · 13.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$137.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$126.9
Nearest support

-0.09% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$126.79
Deeper support zone

-0.68% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$126.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$126.15 - $127.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $131.67, invalidation $126.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.4 / 30.7 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$130.34 / $132.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7546 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.93%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.74 / $127.46Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.15 / $127.65Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$137.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.110Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 6.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.80xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $131.67, invalidation $126.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.4 / 30.7 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$130.34 / $132.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.110Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.3 / 6.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7546 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.93%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.74 / $127.46Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.15 / $127.65Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.80xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$137.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.79Range

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