US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

PGR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $193.02 and reclaim $222.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $193.02 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 71.4, MACD 1.156

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.71 (1.67%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$218.09Bullish
EMA 21$212.03Bullish
EMA 50$206.35Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 71.4 · MACD 1.156

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.71 · BB 13.71%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 63.5 · OBV 6.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$193.02 - $222.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.83% · 1.1 ATR above latest close

$226.43
Nearest resistance

+0.17% · 0.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$222.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$222.35
Nearest support

-13.19% · 7.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$193.02
Deeper support zone

-14.86% · 8.9 ATR below latest close

$189.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$218.64 - $226.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222.41, invalidation $216.15

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.7 / 47.3 / 9.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$210.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.9 / $206.02Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

98%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.71 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.71%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$219.91 / $204.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.64 / $226.06Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$193.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.156Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.2 / 89.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

120.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222.41, invalidation $216.15

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.7 / 47.3 / 9.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$210.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.9 / $206.02Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

98%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.156Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.2 / 89.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

120.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 11Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.71 (1.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.71%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$219.91 / $204.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.64 / $226.06Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.56xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$193.02Range

Related Forecasts