US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish88%
3M Upside probability 88%Bullish

PGR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $62.18 and reclaim $292.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $62.18 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 61.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.86 (17.39%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$221.06Bearish
EMA 21$182.2Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.3 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $37.86 · BB 122.26%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 63.4 · OBV 67.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$62.18 - $292.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.01% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$330.85
Nearest resistance

+34.62% · 2.0 ATR above · 29-bar high

$292.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$217.65
Nearest support

-71.43% · 4.1 ATR below · 29-bar low

$62.18
Deeper support zone

-88.82% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$24.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$179.79 - $255.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $292.99, invalidation $189.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

68.4 / 30.9 / 13.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$211.48 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.86 (17.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 122.26%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$265.12 / $108.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$179.79 / $255.51Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$292.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$62.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.5 / 55.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

47.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

67.63%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $292.99, invalidation $189.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

68.4 / 30.9 / 13.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$211.48 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.5 / 55.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

47.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.86 (17.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 122.26%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$265.12 / $108.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$179.79 / $255.51Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

63.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

67.63%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$292.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$62.18Range

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