US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish80%
3M Upside probability 80%Bullish

PGR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $62.18 and reclaim $292.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $62.18 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 58.7, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $37.86 (18.2%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$218.9Bearish
EMA 21$181.32Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 58.7 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $37.86 · BB 122.08%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 62.5 · OBV 76.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$62.18 - $292.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+59.1% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$330.85
Nearest resistance

+40.89% · 2.2 ATR above · 29-bar high

$292.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$207.95
Nearest support

-70.1% · 3.9 ATR below · 29-bar low

$62.18
Deeper support zone

-88.3% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

$24.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$170.09 - $245.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $292.99, invalidation $189.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

68.4 / 30.9 / 13.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$211.48 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.86 (18.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 122.08%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$264.2 / $107.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.09 / $245.81Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$292.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$62.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.2 / 53.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

43.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

76.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $292.99, invalidation $189.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

68.4 / 30.9 / 13.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$211.48 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

58.7Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.2 / 53.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-46.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

43.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$37.86 (18.2%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 122.08%

60%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$264.2 / $107.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.09 / $245.81Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

76.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.22xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$292.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$62.18Range

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