US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish92%
3M Upside probability 92%Bullish

PGR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $62.18 and reclaim $292.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $62.18 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 59.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $36.53 (17.06%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$217.73Bearish
EMA 21$184.25Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 59.8 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $36.53 · BB 112.19%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 66.7 · OBV 24.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$62.18 - $292.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+53.89% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$329.52
Nearest resistance

+36.83% · 2.2 ATR above · 30-bar high

$292.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$214.12
Nearest support

-70.96% · 4.2 ATR below · 30-bar low

$62.18
Deeper support zone

-88.02% · 5.2 ATR below latest close

$25.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$177.59 - $250.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $292.99, invalidation $189.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.3 / 32.0 / 13.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.83 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.53 (17.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 112.19%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$265.65 / $111.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$177.59 / $250.65Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$292.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$62.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.6 / 56.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $292.99, invalidation $189.2

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.3 / 32.0 / 13.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$96.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.83 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

59%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

59.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.6 / 56.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

33.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.53 (17.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 112.19%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$265.65 / $111.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$177.59 / $250.65Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

24.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$292.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$62.18Range

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