US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBullish90%
12h Upside probability 90%Bullish

PGR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $201.02 and reclaim $230.28.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $201.02 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 57.8, MACD 0.688

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.06 (2.25%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$225.67Bearish
EMA 21$221.61Bullish
EMA 50$217.99Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 57.8 · MACD 0.688

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.06 · BB 8.55%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 51.9 · OBV 7.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$201.02 - $230.28

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.43% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$235.35
Nearest resistance

+2.18% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$230.28
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$225.37
Nearest support

-10.8% · 4.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$201.02
Deeper support zone

-13.05% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$195.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$220.31 - $230.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.28, invalidation $201.02

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.7 / 24.8 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$215.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$220.18 / $215.65Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.06 (2.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.55%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$228.77 / $214.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.31 / $230.43Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$230.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.688Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.2 / 91.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

83.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.28, invalidation $201.02

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.7 / 24.8 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$215.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$220.18 / $215.65Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

83%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.688Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.2 / 91.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

83.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.06 (2.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.55%

70%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$228.77 / $214.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.31 / $230.43Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.07xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$230.28Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.02Range

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