US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBullish61%
12h Upside probability 61%Bullish

PGR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $201.18 and reclaim $225.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $201.18 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 55.5, MACD 1.104

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.19 (1.49%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$211.43Bullish
EMA 21$211.03Bullish
EMA 50$212.59Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.5 · MACD 1.104

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.19 · BB 8.56%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 77.7 · OBV -18.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$201.18 - $225

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.57% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$228.19
Nearest resistance

+5.08% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$225
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$214.12
Nearest support

-6.04% · 4.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$201.18
Deeper support zone

-7.53% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$197.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$210.93 - $217.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $201.18, invalidation $221.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.9 / 31.1 / 6.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.92 / $213.09Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.19 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.56%

77%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$217.86 / $204.08Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.93 / $217.31Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$225Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.104Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

89.5 / 91.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-10.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $201.18, invalidation $221.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.9 / 31.1 / 6.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$203.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$210.92 / $213.09Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.104Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

89.5 / 91.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-10.5Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

81.4Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 11Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.19 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.56%

77%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$217.86 / $204.08Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.93 / $217.31Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$225Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$201.18Range

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