US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBullish92%
12h Upside probability 92%Bullish

PGR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $189.31 and reclaim $222.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $189.31 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 71.3, MACD 2.205

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.92 (2.21%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$213.84Bullish
EMA 21$207.13Bullish
EMA 50$203.76Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 71.3 · MACD 2.205

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.92 · BB 17.13%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 62.1 · OBV 107.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$189.31 - $222.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.38% · 1.1 ATR above latest close

$227.64
Nearest resistance

+0.17% · 0.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$222.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$222.35
Nearest support

-14.86% · 6.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$189.31
Deeper support zone

-17.07% · 7.7 ATR below latest close

$184.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$217.43 - $227.27

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $205.57, invalidation $201.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.0 / 32.5 / 7.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$204.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$208.95 / $206.02Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.92 (2.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.13%

102%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$217.94 / $196.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.43 / $227.27Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$189.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.205Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.4 / 91.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

180.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 10Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

107.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $205.57, invalidation $201.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.0 / 32.5 / 7.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$204.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$208.95 / $206.02Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

99%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

71.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.205Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

98.4 / 91.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-1.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

180.3Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 10Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.92 (2.21%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.13%

102%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$217.94 / $196.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$217.43 / $227.27Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

107.67%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$189.31Range

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