US stock / ETF

Progressive Corporation

PGR · NYSE · USD

1 hourBullish92%
1h Upside probability 92%Bullish

PGR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $207.22 and reclaim $222.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $207.22 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.0, MACD -0.021

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.62 (0.73%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$221.04Bullish
EMA 21$218.77Bullish
EMA 50$214.22Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.0 · MACD -0.021

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.62 · BB 3.60%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 58.7 · OBV 19.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$207.22 - $222.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+0.89% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$224.34
Nearest resistance

+0.17% · 0.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$222.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$222.35
Nearest support

-6.8% · 9.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$207.22
Deeper support zone

-7.53% · 10.4 ATR below latest close

$205.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$220.73 - $223.97

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222.72, invalidation $216.15

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.6 / 43.7 / 32.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.98 / $212.29Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.62 (0.73%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.60%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$221.25 / $216.65Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.73 / $223.97Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.021Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.4 / 90.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-5.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

109.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222.72, invalidation $216.15

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.6 / 43.7 / 32.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.98 / $212.29Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.021Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.4 / 90.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-5.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

109.0Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.62 (0.73%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.60%

84%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$221.25 / $216.65Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$220.73 / $223.97Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

19.01%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$222.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.22Range

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