US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish81%
4h Downside probability 81%Bearish

ORLY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $88.52 and stabilize above resistance $91.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $91.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.6, MACD -0.107

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.41 (1.59%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$87.94Bullish
EMA 21$88.52Bearish
EMA 50$89.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD -0.107

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.41 · BB 7.40%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.3 · OBV -314.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$84.78 - $91.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.62% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$93.21
Nearest resistance

+4.03% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$91.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$88.25
Nearest support

-3.93% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$84.78
Deeper support zone

-5.52% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$83.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$86.84 - $89.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $84.78

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.7 / 21.3 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.88 / $89.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.41 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.40%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$91.53 / $85.44Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.84 / $89.65Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$91.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.107Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.4 / 47.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-314.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $84.78

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.7 / 21.3 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.88 / $89.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.107Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.4 / 47.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-36.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.41 (1.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.40%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$91.53 / $85.44Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.84 / $89.65Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-314.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$91.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.78Range

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