US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish68%
4h Upside probability 68%Bullish

ORLY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $88.45 and reclaim $93.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $88.45 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 57.9, MACD 0.278

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.8186 (0.89%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$90.55Bullish
EMA 21$90.22Bullish
EMA 50$90.09Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 57.9 · MACD 0.278

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $0.8186 · BB 4.14%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 45.0 · OBV -10.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.45 - $93.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.53% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$94.79
Nearest resistance

+2.63% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$91.56
Nearest support

-3.4% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.45
Deeper support zone

-4.29% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$87.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$90.74 - $92.38

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.45, invalidation $90.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.8 / 36.7 / 12.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.79 / $90.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8186 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.14%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$92 / $88.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.74 / $92.38Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.278Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.2 / 82.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

168.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.21xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.45, invalidation $90.17

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.8 / 36.7 / 12.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.79 / $90.68Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

81%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.278Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

81.2 / 82.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-18.8Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

168.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8186 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.14%

95%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$92 / $88.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.74 / $92.38Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.21xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.45Range

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