US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish56%
4h Upside probability 56%Bullish

ORLY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $84.81 and reclaim $93.07.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $84.81 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 53.9, MACD -0.110

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.64 (1.83%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$89.51Bullish
EMA 21$89.24Bullish
EMA 50$88.39Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.9 · MACD -0.110

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.64 · BB 6.35%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 26.4 · OBV -20.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$84.81 - $93.07

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.51% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$94.71
Nearest resistance

+3.69% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.07
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.76
Nearest support

-5.52% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$84.81
Deeper support zone

-7.34% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$83.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$88.12 - $91.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.47, invalidation $86.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.5 / 15.1 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89 / $87.83Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.64 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.35%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$92.04 / $86.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.12 / $91.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.110Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.5 / 58.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.02xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.47, invalidation $86.65

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.5 / 15.1 / 32.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89 / $87.83Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.110Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

59.5 / 58.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-40.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-15.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.64 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.35%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$92.04 / $86.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.12 / $91.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.02xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.07Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.81Range

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