US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursRange53%
4h Range probability 94%Range

ORLY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $82.71 - $93.46 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 45.9, MACD 0.132

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.9361 (1.09%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$86.17Bearish
EMA 21$86.34Bearish
EMA 50$87.14Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.9 · MACD 0.132

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $0.9361 · BB 4.24%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 74.2 · OBV 26.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$82.71 - $93.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.08% · 9.2 ATR above latest close

$94.4
Nearest resistance

+8.99% · 8.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$85.75
Nearest support

-3.54% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82.71
Deeper support zone

-4.63% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$81.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$84.81 - $86.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.91, invalidation $85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 27.2 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$82.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.16 / $88.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9361 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.24%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$88.25 / $84.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.81 / $86.69Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.132Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.2 / 42.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

26.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.91, invalidation $85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.7 / 27.2 / 30.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$82.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.16 / $88.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.132Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.2 / 42.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-7.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.9361 (1.09%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.24%

47%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$88.25 / $84.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.81 / $86.69Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

26.95%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.71Range

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