US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

ORLY 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.25 and stabilize above resistance $93.84.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $93.84 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -0.155

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.12 (1.26%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$89.47Bearish
EMA 21$90.25Bearish
EMA 50$90.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -0.155

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.12 · BB 4.29%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 38.0 · OBV -11.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$87.19 - $93.84

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.56% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$94.96
Nearest resistance

+5.31% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.84
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.11
Nearest support

-2.15% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$87.19
Deeper support zone

-3.41% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$86.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$87.99 - $90.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.19, invalidation $90.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.9 / 27.4 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.92 / $91.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.12 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.29%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$92.63 / $87.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.99 / $90.23Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.155Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 34.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.13xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.19, invalidation $90.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

9.9 / 27.4 / 30.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.49Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.92 / $91.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.155Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 34.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.12 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.29%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$92.63 / $87.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.99 / $90.23Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.13xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.19Range

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