US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish92%
3M Upside probability 92%Bullish

ORLY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $16.77 and reclaim $108.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $16.77 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 64.5, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $13.04 (14.5%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$88.25Bullish
EMA 21$72.47Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 64.5 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $13.04 · BB 99.80%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.8 · OBV 90.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$16.77 - $108.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.4% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$121.75
Nearest resistance

+20.9% · 1.4 ATR above · 30-bar high

$108.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.92
Nearest support

-81.35% · 5.6 ATR below · 30-bar low

$16.77
Deeper support zone

-95.85% · 6.6 ATR below latest close

$3.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$76.88 - $102.96

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.72, invalidation $37.53

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.6 / 23.9 / 5.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$80.22 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.04 (14.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 99.80%

71%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.41 / $46.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.88 / $102.96Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.4 / 63.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

62.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

90.43%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.72, invalidation $37.53

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.6 / 23.9 / 5.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$46.58Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$80.22 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

64.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.4 / 63.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

62.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$13.04 (14.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 99.80%

71%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.41 / $46.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.88 / $102.96Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

90.43%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.77Range

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