US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish81%
3M Upside probability 81%Bullish

ORLY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $28.32 and reclaim $108.71.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $28.32 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 66.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.46 (14.23%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$87.43Bullish
EMA 21$67.18Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 66.2 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $12.46 · BB 113.09%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 70.3 · OBV 140.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$28.32 - $108.71

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.44% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$121.17
Nearest resistance

+24.21% · 1.7 ATR above · 24-bar high

$108.71
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$87.52
Nearest support

-67.64% · 4.8 ATR below · 24-bar low

$28.32
Deeper support zone

-81.87% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$15.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$75.06 - $99.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.71, invalidation $57.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$49.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.46 (14.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 113.09%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.42 / $40.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.06 / $99.98Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.2 / 70.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

140.03%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.71, invalidation $57.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$49.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

66.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.2 / 70.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.46 (14.23%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 113.09%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$98.42 / $40.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.06 / $99.98Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

140.03%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$28.32Range

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