US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish87%
3M Upside probability 87%Bullish

ORLY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $16.77 and reclaim $108.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $16.77 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.94 (15.08%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$87.87Bearish
EMA 21$70.76Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.9 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $12.94 · BB 105.68%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 60.8 · OBV 38.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$16.77 - $108.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.76% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$121.66
Nearest resistance

+26.68% · 1.8 ATR above · 29-bar high

$108.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$85.82
Nearest support

-80.46% · 5.3 ATR below · 29-bar low

$16.77
Deeper support zone

-95.54% · 6.3 ATR below latest close

$3.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$72.88 - $98.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.72, invalidation $57.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

72.5 / 27.5 / 5.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$45.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$75.9 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.94 (15.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.68%

68%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.64 / $43.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$72.88 / $98.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.9 / 66.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

65.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.72, invalidation $57.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

72.5 / 27.5 / 5.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$45.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$75.9 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.9 / 66.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

65.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.94 (15.08%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 105.68%

68%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.64 / $43.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$72.88 / $98.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

38.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.77Range

Related Forecasts