US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish87%
3M Upside probability 87%Bullish

ORLY 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $16.77 and reclaim $108.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $16.77 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 65.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.94 (14.53%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$88.6Bullish
EMA 21$71.06Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 65.3 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $12.94 · BB 106.17%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 61.5 · OBV 41.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$16.77 - $108.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+36.53% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$121.66
Nearest resistance

+22% · 1.5 ATR above · 29-bar high

$108.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.11
Nearest support

-81.18% · 5.6 ATR below · 29-bar low

$16.77
Deeper support zone

-95.71% · 6.6 ATR below latest close

$3.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$76.17 - $102.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.72, invalidation $57.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

72.5 / 27.5 / 5.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$45.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$75.9 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.94 (14.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 106.17%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.95 / $44.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.17 / $102.05Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.3 / 68.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

69.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

41.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.72, invalidation $57.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

72.5 / 27.5 / 5.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$45.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$75.9 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.3 / 68.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

69.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.94 (14.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 106.17%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.95 / $44.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$76.17 / $102.05Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

41.02%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$16.77Range

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