US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish72%
1h Downside probability 72%Bearish

ORLY 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.61 and stabilize above resistance $92.34.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.34 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.6, MACD -0.209

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4357 (0.48%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$90.55Bearish
EMA 21$90.61Bearish
EMA 50$90.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.6 · MACD -0.209

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4357 · BB 3.29%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.2 · OBV 0.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$88.61 - $92.34

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.07% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$92.78
Nearest resistance

+2.59% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.34
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$90.01
Nearest support

-1.56% · 3.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$88.61
Deeper support zone

-2.04% · 4.2 ATR below latest close

$88.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$89.57 - $90.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.34, invalidation $90.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.7 / 27.3 / 41.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.74 / $90.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4357 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.29%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$91.63 / $89.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.57 / $90.45Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.61Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.209Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.32%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

8.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $92.34, invalidation $90.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.7 / 27.3 / 41.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.74 / $90.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.209Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

3.7 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-96.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.6Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4357 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.29%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$91.63 / $89.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.57 / $90.45Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.32%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

8.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$88.61Range

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