US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish59%
1h Downside probability 59%Bearish

ORLY 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $85.03 and stabilize above resistance $86.76.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $86.76 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.2, MACD 0.031

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4075 (0.48%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$84.9Bearish
EMA 21$85.03Bearish
EMA 50$85.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.2 · MACD 0.031

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4075 · BB 1.99%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.4 · OBV -0.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$83.9 - $86.76

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.66% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$87.16
Nearest resistance

+2.18% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$86.76
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$84.9
Nearest support

-1.18% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$83.9
Deeper support zone

-1.66% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$83.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$84.49 - $85.31

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.05, invalidation $84.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.1 / 32.4 / 31.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.12 / $85.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4075 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.99%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$85.83 / $84.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.49 / $85.31Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.031Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.4 / 35.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-2.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.06xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.05, invalidation $84.47

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.1 / 32.4 / 31.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.12 / $85.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.031Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.4 / 35.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-2.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4075 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.99%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$85.83 / $84.2Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.49 / $85.31Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.06xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.9Range

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