US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish69%
1h Downside probability 69%Bearish

ORLY 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $86.1 and stabilize above resistance $88.02.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $88.02 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.8, MACD -0.211

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5380 (0.63%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$85.88Bearish
EMA 21$86.1Bearish
EMA 50$86.14Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.8 · MACD -0.211

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5380 · BB 3.88%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 51.3 · OBV -23.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$83.8 - $88.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.27% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$88.56
Nearest resistance

+2.65% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$88.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$85.75
Nearest support

-2.27% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$83.8
Deeper support zone

-2.9% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$83.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$85.21 - $86.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.91, invalidation $85.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.6 / 29.5 / 35.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.27 / $85.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5380 (0.63%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.88%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.15 / $85.06Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.21 / $86.29Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$88.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.211Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.0 / 10.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.78xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $87.91, invalidation $85.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.6 / 29.5 / 35.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.27 / $85.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.211Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.0 / 10.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5380 (0.63%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.88%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.15 / $85.06Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.21 / $86.29Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.78xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$88.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.8Range

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