US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish68%
1h Downside probability 68%Bearish

ORLY 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $89.45 and stabilize above resistance $92.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.8, MACD 0.094

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.4934 (0.55%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$89.19Bearish
EMA 21$89.45Bearish
EMA 50$90.16Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD 0.094

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.4934 · BB 1.28%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 20.0 · OBV -11.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$87.19 - $92.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.66% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$93.26
Nearest resistance

+4.11% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.11
Nearest support

-2.15% · 3.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$87.19
Deeper support zone

-2.71% · 4.9 ATR below latest close

$86.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$88.62 - $89.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $90.19, invalidation $89.09

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.6 / 31.3 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.6 / $89.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4934 (0.55%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.28%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.47 / $88.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.62 / $89.6Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.094Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.7 / 40.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-12.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

7.93xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $90.19, invalidation $89.09

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.6 / 31.3 / 16.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$87.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.6 / $89.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.094Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.7 / 40.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-12.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.4934 (0.55%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.28%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.47 / $88.37Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$88.62 / $89.6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

7.93xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$87.19Range

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