US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish85%
12h Downside probability 85%Bearish

ORLY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $87.43 and stabilize above resistance $92.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $92.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.7, MACD -0.211

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.25 (1.45%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$86.2Bearish
EMA 21$87.43Bearish
EMA 50$88.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.7 · MACD -0.211

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.25 · BB 5.63%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 30.2 · OBV -20.76%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$84.65 - $92.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.55% · 6.6 ATR above latest close

$94.02
Nearest resistance

+8.1% · 5.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$92.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$85.82
Nearest support

-1.36% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$84.65
Deeper support zone

-2.82% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$83.4
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$84.57 - $87.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.4, invalidation $88.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.6 / 27.7 / 35.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.18 / $89.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.25 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.63%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.99 / $84.73Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.57 / $87.07Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.211Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.9 / 12.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.62xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.4, invalidation $88.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.6 / 27.7 / 35.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87.18 / $89.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.211Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.9 / 12.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.25 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.63%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$89.99 / $84.73Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$84.57 / $87.07Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.76%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.62xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$92.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.65Range

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