US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish68%
12h Downside probability 68%Bearish

ORLY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $85.68 and stabilize above resistance $88.34.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $88.34 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.5, MACD 0.014

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.27 (1.49%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$85.45Bearish
EMA 21$85.68Bearish
EMA 50$86.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.5 · MACD 0.014

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.27 · BB 4.73%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 55.3 · OBV 1714.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$82.84 - $88.34

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.54% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$89.6
Nearest resistance

+4.05% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$88.34
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$84.9
Nearest support

-2.42% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82.84
Deeper support zone

-3.91% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$81.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$83.63 - $86.17

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $83.9, invalidation $86.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 37.5 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.43 / $86.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.27 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.73%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.86 / $83.46Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.63 / $86.17Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$88.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.84Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.014Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 45.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1714.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $83.9, invalidation $86.76

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 37.5 / 15.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.43 / $86.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.014Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 45.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.27 (1.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.73%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.86 / $83.46Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.63 / $86.17Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1714.22%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$88.34Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.84Range

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