US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish64%
12h Downside probability 64%Bearish

ORLY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $89.03 and stabilize above resistance $95.57.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $95.57 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.1, MACD -0.093

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.16 (2.44%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$88.15Bullish
EMA 21$89.03Bearish
EMA 50$90.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.1 · MACD -0.093

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.16 · BB 7.15%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 57.2 · OBV 36.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$84.78 - $95.57

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.74% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$97.73
Nearest resistance

+8.3% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$95.57
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$88.25
Nearest support

-3.93% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$84.78
Deeper support zone

-6.37% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$82.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$86.09 - $90.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $84.78

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.8 / 23.9 / 22.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.77 / $92.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.16 (2.44%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$93.41 / $84.53Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.09 / $90.4Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$95.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.093Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.4 / 33.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

36.20%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $91.8, invalidation $84.78

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

12.8 / 23.9 / 22.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.77 / $92.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.093Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.4 / 33.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.16 (2.44%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.15%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$93.41 / $84.53Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$86.09 / $90.4Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

36.20%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.50xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$95.57Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$84.78Range

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