US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish81%
12h Downside probability 81%Bearish

ORLY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $87.09 and stabilize above resistance $93.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $93.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.8, MACD 0.045

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.93 (2.25%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$86.49Bearish
EMA 21$87.09Bearish
EMA 50$88.13Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.8 · MACD 0.045

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.93 · BB 12.06%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.8 · OBV -15.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82.71 - $93.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.24% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$95.39
Nearest resistance

+8.99% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$85.75
Nearest support

-3.54% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82.71
Deeper support zone

-5.8% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$80.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$83.82 - $87.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.02, invalidation $83.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.4 / 13.5 / 50.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87 / $88.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.93 (2.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.06%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.23 / $83.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.82 / $87.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.71Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.045Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.4 / 42.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $88.02, invalidation $83.8

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.4 / 13.5 / 50.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$87 / $88.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.045Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

37.4 / 42.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-62.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.93 (2.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.06%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.23 / $83.84Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.82 / $87.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.71Range

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