US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish67%
12h Downside probability 67%Bearish

ORLY 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.55 and stabilize above resistance $94.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $94.85 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.8, MACD -0.451

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $1.52 (1.7%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$90.05Bearish
EMA 21$90.55Bearish
EMA 50$89.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.8 · MACD -0.451

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.52 · BB 6.23%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.2 · OBV -9.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$85.79 - $94.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.14% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$96.37
Nearest resistance

+6.44% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$94.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.11
Nearest support

-3.73% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$85.79
Deeper support zone

-5.43% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$84.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$87.59 - $90.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $89.37, invalidation $92.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 30.1 / 28.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.37 / $88.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.52 (1.7%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.23%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$93.74 / $87.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.59 / $90.63Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$94.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.451Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.9 / 19.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.28xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $89.37, invalidation $92.77

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 30.1 / 28.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.37 / $88.72Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.451Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.9 / 19.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-134.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.52 (1.7%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.23%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$93.74 / $87.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.59 / $90.63Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.28xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$94.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$85.79Range

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