US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish69%
Weekly Upside probability 69%Bullish

ORLY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $82.59 and reclaim $100.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $82.59 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.6, MACD 0.312

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.2 (4.67%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$87.84Bullish
EMA 21$88.59Bullish
EMA 50$90.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.6 · MACD 0.312

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.2 · BB 10.34%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 55.8 · OBV 1.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$82.59 - $100.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.58% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$104.83
Nearest resistance

+11.91% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$100.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.92
Nearest support

-8.15% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82.59
Deeper support zone

-12.82% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$78.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$85.72 - $94.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.12, invalidation $83.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 20.0 / 14.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$79.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.75 / $92.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.2 (4.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.34%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$96.05 / $80.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.72 / $94.12Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.312Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.9 / 50.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

73.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.12, invalidation $83.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.1 / 20.0 / 14.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$79.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.75 / $92.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.312Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

60.9 / 50.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-39.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

73.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.2 (4.67%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.34%

69%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$96.05 / $80.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$85.72 / $94.12Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.59Range

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