US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish82%
Weekly Downside probability 82%Bearish

ORLY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.6 and stabilize above resistance $102.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $102.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.5, MACD -0.372

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $4.99 (5.82%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$88.4Bearish
EMA 21$90.6Bearish
EMA 50$91.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.5 · MACD -0.372

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.99 · BB 12.89%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.4 · OBV 6.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$83.8 - $102.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.3% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$107.45
Nearest resistance

+19.48% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$102.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$85.75
Nearest support

-2.27% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$83.8
Deeper support zone

-8.09% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$78.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$80.76 - $90.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $85.35, invalidation $93.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 16.2 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.87 / $96.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.99 (5.82%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.89%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.42 / $80.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.76 / $90.74Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$102.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.372Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.6 / 20.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $85.35, invalidation $93.52

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.9 / 16.2 / 23.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.87 / $96.26Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

12%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.372Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.6 / 20.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$4.99 (5.82%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.89%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.42 / $80.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.76 / $90.74Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.12%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.08xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$102.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$83.8Range

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