US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish64%
Weekly Downside probability 64%Bearish

ORLY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.45 and stabilize above resistance $102.11.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $102.11 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD 0.345

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $5.32 (5.97%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$89.74Bearish
EMA 21$90.45Bearish
EMA 50$91.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD 0.345

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.32 · BB 12.54%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.8 · OBV 6.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$82.59 - $102.11

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.56% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$107.43
Nearest resistance

+14.59% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$102.11
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.11
Nearest support

-7.32% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82.59
Deeper support zone

-13.29% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$77.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$83.79 - $94.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.12, invalidation $82.59

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 15.4 / 21.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.98 / $95.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.32 (5.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.54%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.42 / $79.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.79 / $94.43Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$102.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.345Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.5 / 67.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.08%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.12, invalidation $82.59

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 15.4 / 21.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$73.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.98 / $95.65Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.345Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.5 / 67.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-43.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$5.32 (5.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.54%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.42 / $79.32Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$83.79 / $94.43Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.08%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$102.11Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.59Range

Related Forecasts