US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish63%
Weekly Upside probability 63%Bullish

ORLY 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $82.59 and reclaim $100.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $82.59 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.6, MACD 0.613

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4 (4.37%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$89.06Bullish
EMA 21$88.93Bullish
EMA 50$90.23Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.6 · MACD 0.613

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4 · BB 10.44%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.2 · OBV -1.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$82.59 - $100.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.27% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$104.63
Nearest resistance

+9.9% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$100.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$91.56
Nearest support

-9.8% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$82.59
Deeper support zone

-14.17% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$78.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$87.56 - $95.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.12, invalidation $83.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.4 / 12.3 / 18.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.46 / $92.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4 (4.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.44%

85%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$97.06 / $80.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.56 / $95.56Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.59Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.613Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.2 / 61.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

78.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.12, invalidation $83.38

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.4 / 12.3 / 18.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.46 / $92.52Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.613Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.2 / 61.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-21.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

78.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4 (4.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.44%

85%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$97.06 / $80.71Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$87.56 / $95.56Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$100.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$82.59Range

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