US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish60%
Monthly Downside probability 60%Bearish

ORLY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $89.77 and stabilize above resistance $108.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $108.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.0, MACD -2.437

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.14 (11.83%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$91.86Bearish
EMA 21$89.77Bearish
EMA 50$75.97Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.0 · MACD -2.437

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.14 · BB 27.94%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.4 · OBV 1.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$57.34 - $108.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+38.61% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$118.86
Nearest resistance

+26.78% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$85.75
Nearest support

-33.13% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$57.34
Deeper support zone

-44.96% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$47.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$75.61 - $95.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.63, invalidation $63.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.8 / 15.1 / 15.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.59 / $73.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.14 (11.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.94%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.06 / $68.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.61 / $95.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$57.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.437Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.8 / 13.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.63, invalidation $63.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.8 / 15.1 / 15.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$55.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$89.59 / $73.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.437Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.8 / 13.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.14 (11.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.94%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$112.06 / $68.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.61 / $95.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.49%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$57.34Range

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