US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish64%
Monthly Downside probability 64%Bearish

ORLY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $89.12 and stabilize above resistance $108.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $108.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.1, MACD -2.620

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.53 (11.22%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$89.13Bearish
EMA 21$89.12Bearish
EMA 50$77.26Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD -2.620

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.53 · BB 25.35%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.6 · OBV -20.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$60.97 - $108.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.27% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$118.24
Nearest resistance

+28.05% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$84.9
Nearest support

-28.19% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$60.97
Deeper support zone

-39.41% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$51.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$75.37 - $94.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.12, invalidation $82.59

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 6.9 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$91.26 / $75.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.53 (11.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.35%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107 / $71.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.37 / $94.43Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$60.97Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.620Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 14.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $94.12, invalidation $82.59

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 6.9 / 20.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$58.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$91.26 / $75.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.620Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.8 / 14.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-141.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.53 (11.22%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.35%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107 / $71.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$75.37 / $94.43Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.09xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$60.97Range

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