US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish71%
Monthly Downside probability 71%Bearish

ORLY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $90.01 and stabilize above resistance $108.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $108.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.2, MACD -2.288

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.29 (11.55%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$91.87Bearish
EMA 21$90.01Bearish
EMA 50$76.62Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.2 · MACD -2.288

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.29 · BB 23.40%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.8 · OBV -8.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$60.97 - $108.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.55% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$119.01
Nearest resistance

+22% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$89.11
Nearest support

-31.58% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$60.97
Deeper support zone

-43.13% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$50.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.82 - $99.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.63, invalidation $63.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.3 / 14.6 / 16.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$59.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.25 / $73.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.29 (11.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.40%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.12 / $69.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.82 / $99.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$60.97Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.288Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.63, invalidation $63.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.3 / 14.6 / 16.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$59.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.25 / $73.12Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.288Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 27.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-61.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.29 (11.55%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.40%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.12 / $69.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.82 / $99.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.51xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$60.97Range

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