US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish56%
Monthly Upside probability 56%Bullish

ORLY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $60.97 and reclaim $108.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $60.97 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 52.6, MACD -2.155

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.95 (10.91%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$92.33Bearish
EMA 21$90.2Bullish
EMA 50$76.7Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.6 · MACD -2.155

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $9.95 · BB 23.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.7 · OBV -6.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$60.97 - $108.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.13% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$118.67
Nearest resistance

+19.22% · 1.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$91.19
Nearest support

-33.14% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$60.97
Deeper support zone

-44.05% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$51.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$81.24 - $101.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.63, invalidation $63.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.4 / 14.7 / 16.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.25 / $73.12Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.95 (10.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.03%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.35 / $70.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.24 / $101.14Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$60.97Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.155Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.9 / 29.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $100.63, invalidation $63.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.4 / 14.7 / 16.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$60.85Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$90.25 / $73.12Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

41%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.155Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.9 / 29.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-51.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.95 (10.91%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.03%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$110.35 / $70.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$81.24 / $101.14Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$60.97Range

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