US stock / ETF

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

ORLY · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthRange47%
Monthly Range probability 94%Range

ORLY 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $57.34 - $108.71 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.4, MACD -2.320

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.77 (11.17%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$92.6Bearish
EMA 21$89.76Bearish
EMA 50$74.98Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.4 · MACD -2.320

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.77 · BB 29.45%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.8 · OBV -1.32%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$57.34 - $108.71

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.38% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$118.48
Nearest resistance

+24.21% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$108.71
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$87.52
Nearest support

-34.48% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$57.34
Deeper support zone

-45.65% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$47.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.75 - $97.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.71, invalidation $87

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.3 / 15.0 / 15.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$91.28 / $73.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.77 (11.17%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.45%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.2 / $69.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.75 / $97.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$57.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.320Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 23.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $108.71, invalidation $87

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.3 / 15.0 / 15.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$57.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$91.28 / $73.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.320Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 23.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.77 (11.17%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.45%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$111.2 / $69.18Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.75 / $97.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.32%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$108.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$57.34Range

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