US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish60%
4h Upside probability 60%Bullish

MSTR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $133.2 and reclaim $155.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $133.2 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.6, MACD 0.387

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.75 (3.25%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$146.65Bearish
EMA 21$146.12Bearish
EMA 50$147.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.6 · MACD 0.387

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.75 · BB 14.36%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 58.6 · OBV 5.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$133.2 - $155.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.73% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$160.29
Nearest resistance

+6.48% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$155.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$146.07
Nearest support

-8.81% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$133.2
Deeper support zone

-12.06% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$128.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$141.32 - $150.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $155.54, invalidation $140

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 22.2 / 22.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$131.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$145.88 / $147.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.75 (3.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.36%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$155.54 / $136.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$141.32 / $150.82Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$155.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$133.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.387Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.1 / 56.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

28.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $155.54, invalidation $140

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.6 / 22.2 / 22.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$131.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$145.88 / $147.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.387Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.1 / 56.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

28.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.75 (3.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.36%

57%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$155.54 / $136.68Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$141.32 / $150.82Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$155.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$133.2Range

Related Forecasts