US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish70%
4h Upside probability 70%Bullish

MSTR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $90.02 and reclaim $105.84.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $90.02 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.9, MACD 0.575

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.73 (2.8%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$96.79Bullish
EMA 21$95.87Bullish
EMA 50$97.65Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.9 · MACD 0.575

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.73 · BB 9.70%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 50.8 · OBV 4.74%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$90.02 - $105.84

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.4% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$108.56
Nearest resistance

+8.61% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$105.84
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$97.45
Nearest support

-7.62% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$90.02
Deeper support zone

-10.42% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$87.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$94.72 - $100.18

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99.96, invalidation $90.02

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 25.4 / 17.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.53 / $93.49Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.73 (2.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.70%

74%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.17 / $90.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.72 / $100.18Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.575Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.3 / 71.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

84.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99.96, invalidation $90.02

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.4 / 25.4 / 17.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$96.53 / $93.49Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.575Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

62.3 / 71.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-37.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

84.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.73 (2.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.70%

74%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$101.17 / $90.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.72 / $100.18Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.31xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.02Range

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