US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

MSTR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $91.67 and reclaim $127.59.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $91.67 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 72.5, MACD 1.384

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.78 (4.8%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$117.88Bullish
EMA 21$110.42Bullish
EMA 50$103.87Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 72.5 · MACD 1.384

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.78 · BB 39.39%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 61.1 · OBV -1.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$91.67 - $127.59

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.74% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$133.37
Nearest resistance

+5.94% · 1.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$127.59
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.44
Nearest support

-23.89% · 5.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.67
Deeper support zone

-28.69% · 6.0 ATR below latest close

$85.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$114.66 - $126.22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.59, invalidation $92

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.1 / 53.0 / 3.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.01 / $109.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.78 (4.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.39%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$122.08 / $99.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.66 / $126.22Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

72.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.384Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.9 / 81.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

93.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.59, invalidation $92

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.1 / 53.0 / 3.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$114.01 / $109.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

72.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.384Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

79.9 / 81.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-20.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

93.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.78 (4.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.39%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$122.08 / $99.6Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.66 / $126.22Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.58xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.67Range

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