US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

MSTR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $151.79 and reclaim $172.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $151.79 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.9, MACD 0.203

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.58 (2.86%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$159.2Bullish
EMA 21$158.17Bullish
EMA 50$153.99Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.9 · MACD 0.203

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.58 · BB 8.10%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 56.7 · OBV 1.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$151.79 - $172.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.75% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$177.52
Nearest resistance

+7.89% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$172.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$160.29
Nearest support

-5.3% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$151.79
Deeper support zone

-8.16% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$147.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$155.71 - $164.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $170.15, invalidation $151.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 30.4 / 14.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.97 / $148.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.58 (2.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.10%

74%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.53 / $148.96Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.71 / $164.87Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$172.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$151.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.203Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.3 / 39.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

60.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $170.15, invalidation $151.79

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

31.4 / 30.4 / 14.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$160.97 / $148.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.203Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.3 / 39.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

60.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.58 (2.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.10%

74%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$167.53 / $148.96Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.71 / $164.87Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$172.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$151.79Range

Related Forecasts