US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish78%
4h Upside probability 78%Bullish

MSTR 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $90.02 and reclaim $105.84.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $90.02 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 55.6, MACD 0.414

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.73 (2.8%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$95.28Bullish
EMA 21$95.09Bullish
EMA 50$97.57Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.6 · MACD 0.414

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.73 · BB 8.27%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.1 · OBV 1.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$90.02 - $105.84

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.13% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$108.57
Nearest resistance

+8.33% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$105.84
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$97.7
Nearest support

-7.86% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$90.02
Deeper support zone

-10.66% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$87.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$94.97 - $100.43

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99.96, invalidation $90.02

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 28.5 / 17.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.7 / $93.49Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.73 (2.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.27%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$99.67 / $90.47Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.97 / $100.43Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.414Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.3 / 71.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.7Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

150.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.84%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99.96, invalidation $90.02

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.9 / 28.5 / 17.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$90.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.7 / $93.49Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

77%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.414Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.3 / 71.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.7Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

150.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.73 (2.8%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.27%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$99.67 / $90.47Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.97 / $100.43Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.84%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$105.84Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$90.02Range

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