US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish90%
Weekly Upside probability 90%Bullish

MSTR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $81.81 and reclaim $197.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $81.81 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 57.8, MACD 9.767

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.89 (11.18%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$140.2Bullish
EMA 21$133.23Bullish
EMA 50$161.91Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 57.8 · MACD 9.767

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $17.89 · BB 86.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 70.3 · OBV 44.23%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$81.81 - $197

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.3% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$214.89
Nearest resistance

+23.12% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$197
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$160.01
Nearest support

-48.87% · 4.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$81.81
Deeper support zone

-60.05% · 5.4 ATR below latest close

$63.92
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$142.12 - $177.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197, invalidation $89.21

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.2 / 32.8 / 2.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.23 / $223.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.89 (11.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 86.91%

87%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$170.84 / $94.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$142.12 / $177.9Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$197Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

9.767Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.4 / 91.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

118.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

44.23%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197, invalidation $89.21

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.2 / 32.8 / 2.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$104.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$135.23 / $223.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

87%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

9.767Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

87.4 / 91.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-12.6Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

118.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.89 (11.18%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 86.91%

87%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$170.84 / $94.78Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$142.12 / $177.9Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

70.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

44.23%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$197Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.81Range

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