US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish88%
Weekly Upside probability 88%Bullish

MSTR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $81.81 and reclaim $197.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $81.81 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.4, MACD 6.499

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.39 (13.27%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$142.82Bullish
EMA 21$136.28Bullish
EMA 50$160.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.4 · MACD 6.499

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $19.39 · BB 83.87%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 60.8 · OBV 48.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$81.81 - $197

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+48.14% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$216.39
Nearest resistance

+34.87% · 2.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$197
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$146.07
Nearest support

-43.99% · 3.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$81.81
Deeper support zone

-57.27% · 4.3 ATR below latest close

$62.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$126.68 - $165.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $171.19, invalidation $89.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.0 / 30.3 / 8.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$77.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$142.11 / $190.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.39 (13.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 83.87%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$180.66 / $91.54Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.68 / $165.46Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$197Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.499Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

69.4 / 69.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

72.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

48.44%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $171.19, invalidation $89.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.0 / 30.3 / 8.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$77.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$142.11 / $190.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.499Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

69.4 / 69.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-30.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

72.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.39 (13.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 83.87%

75%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$180.66 / $91.54Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.68 / $165.46Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

48.44%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.76xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$197Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.81Range

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