US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish82%
Weekly Upside probability 82%Bullish

MSTR 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $81.81 and reclaim $197.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $81.81 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 49.5, MACD 6.799

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.05 (14.54%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$120.16Bullish
EMA 21$125.13Bullish
EMA 50$162.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.5 · MACD 6.799

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $19.05 · BB 102.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.1 · OBV 4.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$81.81 - $197

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+64.96% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$216.05
Nearest resistance

+50.42% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$197
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$130.97
Nearest support

-37.54% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$81.81
Deeper support zone

-52.08% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$62.76
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$111.92 - $150.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197, invalidation $89.21

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.1 / 22.6 / 11.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.24 / $223.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.05 (14.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 102.48%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.6 / $91.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.92 / $150.02Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$197Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.799Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.9 / 72.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

20.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197, invalidation $89.21

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.1 / 22.6 / 11.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$85.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$128.24 / $223.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

43%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

6.799Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.9 / 72.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

20.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.05 (14.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 102.48%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.6 / $91.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.92 / $150.02Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.1Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.69xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$197Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.81Range

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