US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourRange52%
1h Range probability 96%Range

MSTR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $126.91 - $137.89 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.8, MACD 0.255

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.49 (1.9%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$131.91Bearish
EMA 21$131.62Bearish
EMA 50$132.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD 0.255

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.49 · BB 7.28%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 38.6 · OBV -2.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$126.91 - $137.89

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.16% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$140.38
Nearest resistance

+5.26% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$137.89
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$131
Nearest support

-3.12% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$126.91
Deeper support zone

-5.02% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$124.42
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$128.51 - $133.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $137.89, invalidation $130.54

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 30.2 / 19.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$122.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$132.53 / $134.45Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.49 (1.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.28%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$137.42 / $125.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$128.51 / $133.49Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$137.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.91Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.255Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.4 / 36.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

9.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $137.89, invalidation $130.54

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.1 / 30.2 / 19.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$122.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$132.53 / $134.45Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.255Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.4 / 36.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

9.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.49 (1.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.28%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$137.42 / $125.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$128.51 / $133.49Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$137.89Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.91Range

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