US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourRange52%
1h Range probability 96%Range

MSTR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $151.79 - $170.15 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.7, MACD -0.882

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.93 (1.83%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$159.95Bullish
EMA 21$160.35Bearish
EMA 50$159.14Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.7 · MACD -0.882

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.93 · BB 8.43%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.0 · OBV -3.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$151.79 - $170.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.98% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$173.08
Nearest resistance

+6.15% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$170.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$160.29
Nearest support

-5.3% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$151.79
Deeper support zone

-7.13% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$148.86
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$157.36 - $163.22

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $170.15, invalidation $152.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.3 / 33.8 / 23.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$149.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$162.23 / $160.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.93 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.43%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.84 / $153.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$157.36 / $163.22Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$151.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.882Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.4 / 13.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.14xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $170.15, invalidation $152.63

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

63.3 / 33.8 / 23.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$149.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$162.23 / $160.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.882Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.4 / 13.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.93 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.43%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.84 / $153.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$157.36 / $163.22Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.14xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$151.79Range

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