US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBullish73%
1h Upside probability 73%Bullish

MSTR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $109.19 and reclaim $127.59.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $109.19 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 55.0, MACD -0.442

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.24 (1.86%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$120.62Bearish
EMA 21$119.27Bullish
EMA 50$114.18Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.0 · MACD -0.442

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.24 · BB 5.39%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 53.8 · OBV 2.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$109.19 - $127.59

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.79% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$129.83
Nearest resistance

+5.94% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$127.59
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.44
Nearest support

-9.34% · 5.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$109.19
Deeper support zone

-11.2% · 6.0 ATR below latest close

$106.95
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$118.2 - $122.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.9, invalidation $117.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 22.7 / 17.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.13 / $110.1Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.24 (1.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.39%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.33 / $114.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$118.2 / $122.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$109.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

55.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.442Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.6 / 69.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

55.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $122.9, invalidation $117.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.4 / 22.7 / 17.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$114.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.13 / $110.1Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

55%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

55.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.442Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.6 / 69.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

55.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.24 (1.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.39%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.33 / $114.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$118.2 / $122.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.50xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$109.19Range

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