US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBullish85%
1h Upside probability 85%Bullish

MSTR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $91.1 and reclaim $101.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $91.1 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 52.3, MACD -0.106

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.39 (1.42%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$98.3Bearish
EMA 21$97.3Bullish
EMA 50$96.01Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.3 · MACD -0.106

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.39 · BB 5.75%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 77.3 · OBV 3.74%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$91.1 - $101.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.04% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$103.34
Nearest resistance

+4.62% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$101.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$97.45
Nearest support

-6.52% · 4.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$91.1
Deeper support zone

-7.94% · 5.6 ATR below latest close

$89.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$96.06 - $98.84

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.95, invalidation $97.41

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.5 / 31.9 / 22.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.97 / $95.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.39 (1.42%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.75%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.7 / $94.06Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.06 / $98.84Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.106Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.6 / 28.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $101.95, invalidation $97.41

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.5 / 31.9 / 22.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$92.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$97.97 / $95.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.106Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.6 / 28.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.39 (1.42%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.75%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$100.7 / $94.06Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$96.06 / $98.84Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.93xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$101.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$91.1Range

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