US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourRange50%
1h Range probability 100%Range

MSTR 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $140 - $154.79 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.7, MACD 0.073

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.64 (1.81%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$147.2Bearish
EMA 21$146.9Bearish
EMA 50$146.18Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.7 · MACD 0.073

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.64 · BB 4.13%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 62.8 · OBV -48.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$140 - $154.79

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.78% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$157.43
Nearest resistance

+5.97% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$154.79
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$146.07
Nearest support

-4.16% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$140
Deeper support zone

-5.96% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$137.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$143.43 - $148.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $152.21, invalidation $140

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.6 / 27.5 / 27.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$137.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$146.11 / $147.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.64 (1.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.13%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$152.85 / $140.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$143.43 / $148.71Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$154.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.073Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.7 / 57.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-48.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.67xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $152.21, invalidation $140

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.6 / 27.5 / 27.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$137.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$146.11 / $147.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.073Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

49.7 / 57.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-50.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-8.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.64 (1.81%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.13%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$152.85 / $140.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$143.43 / $148.71Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-48.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.67xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$154.79Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140Range

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