US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBullish54%
12h Upside probability 54%Bullish

MSTR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $81.14 and reclaim $120.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $81.14 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 49.3, MACD 0.919

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.65 (4.76%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$94.75Bullish
EMA 21$96.46Bullish
EMA 50$107.1Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.3 · MACD 0.919

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.65 · BB 19.33%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 17.8 · OBV -11.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$81.14 - $120

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.59% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$124.65
Nearest resistance

+22.82% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$120
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$97.7
Nearest support

-16.95% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$81.14
Deeper support zone

-21.71% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$76.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.05 - $102.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $90.02, invalidation $99.96

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.6 / 15.7 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$94.24 / $108.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.65 (4.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.33%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.08 / $88.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.05 / $102.35Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$120Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.14Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.919Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.6 / 24.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

16.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $90.02, invalidation $99.96

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.6 / 15.7 / 29.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$83.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$94.24 / $108.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

64%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.919Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

48.6 / 24.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-51.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

16.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.65 (4.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.33%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$104.08 / $88.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.05 / $102.35Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

17.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$120Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$81.14Range

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