US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish54%
12h Downside probability 54%Bearish

MSTR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $155.89 and stabilize above resistance $172.94.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $172.94 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 56.9, MACD -0.926

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.96 (4.34%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$159.47Bullish
EMA 21$155.89Bullish
EMA 50$144.78Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.9 · MACD -0.926

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $6.96 · BB 11.23%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.6 · OBV 0.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$123.6 - $172.94

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.23% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$179.9
Nearest resistance

+7.89% · 1.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$172.94
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$160.29
Nearest support

-22.89% · 5.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$123.6
Deeper support zone

-27.23% · 6.3 ATR below latest close

$116.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$153.33 - $167.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $151.79, invalidation $162.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.9 / 22.5 / 22.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$154.62 / $147.01Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.96 (4.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.23%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$171.12 / $141.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$153.33 / $167.25Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$172.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.926Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.3 / 55.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

20.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.19xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $151.79, invalidation $162.2

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.9 / 22.5 / 22.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$140.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$154.62 / $147.01Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.9Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.926Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.3 / 55.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

20.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.96 (4.34%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.23%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$171.12 / $141.38Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$153.33 / $167.25Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.19xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$172.94Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.6Range

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