US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBullish86%
12h Upside probability 86%Bullish

MSTR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $89.21 and reclaim $127.59.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $89.21 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 73.4, MACD 2.668

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.97 (4.95%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$114.66Bullish
EMA 21$106.46Bullish
EMA 50$102.36Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 73.4 · MACD 2.668

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.97 · BB 41.45%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.6 · OBV 8.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$89.21 - $127.59

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.89% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$133.56
Nearest resistance

+5.94% · 1.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$127.59
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.44
Nearest support

-25.93% · 5.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$89.21
Deeper support zone

-30.88% · 6.2 ATR below latest close

$83.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$114.47 - $126.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.59, invalidation $92

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 52.0 / 10.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.71 / $108.4Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.97 (4.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.45%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$120.88 / $92.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.47 / $126.41Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$89.21Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

73.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.668Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.1 / 81.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

132.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $127.59, invalidation $92

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 52.0 / 10.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$109.71 / $108.4Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

80%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

73.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.668Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

80.1 / 81.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-19.9Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

132.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 7Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.97 (4.95%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.45%

91%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$120.88 / $92.79Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.47 / $126.41Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$89.21Range

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