US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish62%
12h Downside probability 62%Bearish

MSTR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $95.55 and stabilize above resistance $104.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $104.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.8, MACD -0.171

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.03 (4.25%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$94.67Bullish
EMA 21$95.55Bearish
EMA 50$99.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD -0.171

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.03 · BB 12.35%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 52.2 · OBV -1.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$89.21 - $104.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.63% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$108.63
Nearest resistance

+10.38% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$104.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$94.76
Nearest support

-5.86% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$89.21
Deeper support zone

-10.11% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$85.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$90.73 - $98.79

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99.77, invalidation $89.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 20.8 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.7 / $93.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.03 (4.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.35%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.55 / $87.44Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.73 / $98.79Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$89.21Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.171Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.5 / 37.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.62xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $99.77, invalidation $89.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.8 / 20.8 / 23.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$95.7 / $93.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.171Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.5 / 37.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.03 (4.25%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.35%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$103.55 / $87.44Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$90.73 / $98.79Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.62xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$104.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$89.21Range

Related Forecasts