US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

MSTR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $127.66 and stabilize above resistance $155.54.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $155.54 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.9, MACD -1.262

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $6.39 (5.58%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$120.73Bearish
EMA 21$127.66Bearish
EMA 50$135.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.9 · MACD -1.262

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.39 · BB 24.10%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 29.3 · OBV -138.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$112.32 - $155.54

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.58% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

$161.93
Nearest resistance

+36% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$155.54
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$114.37
Nearest support

-1.79% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$112.32
Deeper support zone

-7.38% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$105.93
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$107.98 - $120.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.99, invalidation $146.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 11.7 / 42.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.36 / $135.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.39 (5.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.10%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$137.79 / $116.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.98 / $120.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$155.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.262Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.1 / 4.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-153.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-138.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.21xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.99, invalidation $146.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.5 / 11.7 / 42.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$100.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$125.36 / $135.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.262Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.1 / 4.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-153.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$6.39 (5.58%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.10%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$137.79 / $116.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$107.98 / $120.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-138.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.21xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$155.54Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$112.32Range

Related Forecasts