US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursRange50%
12h Range probability 100%Range

MSTR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $133.2 - $170.15 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 48.6, MACD 0.667

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.69 (5.26%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$145.24Bullish
EMA 21$146.64Bearish
EMA 50$146.96Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.6 · MACD 0.667

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $7.69 · BB 17.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.5 · OBV -2.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$133.2 - $170.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.75% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$177.84
Nearest resistance

+16.49% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$170.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$146.07
Nearest support

-8.81% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$133.2
Deeper support zone

-14.08% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$125.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$138.38 - $153.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $133.2, invalidation $155.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 26.5 / 22.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$145.94 / $153.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.69 (5.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.03%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$160.94 / $132.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$138.38 / $153.76Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$133.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.667Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.6 / 56.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

0.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.86xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $133.2, invalidation $155.54

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.8 / 26.5 / 22.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$124.43Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$145.94 / $153.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

50%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.667Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

57.6 / 56.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-42.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

0.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.69 (5.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 17.03%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$160.94 / $132.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$138.38 / $153.76Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.86xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$170.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$133.2Range

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