US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBullish70%
12h Upside probability 70%Bullish

MSTR 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $92 and reclaim $145.88.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $92 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 53.3, MACD -1.704

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.44 (4.92%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$132.08Bearish
EMA 21$130.18Bullish
EMA 50$121.4Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.3 · MACD -1.704

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $6.44 · BB 19.44%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.0 · OBV 4.54%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$92 - $145.88

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.27% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$152.32
Nearest resistance

+11.36% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$145.88
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$131
Nearest support

-29.77% · 6.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$92
Deeper support zone

-34.69% · 7.1 ATR below latest close

$85.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$124.56 - $137.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $141.98, invalidation $126.91

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 35.0 / 22.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$133.9 / $118.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.44 (4.92%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.44%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$141.99 / $118.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.56 / $137.44Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$145.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.704Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.0 / 32.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-3.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.60xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $141.98, invalidation $126.91

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.5 / 35.0 / 22.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$115.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$133.9 / $118.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.704Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.0 / 32.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-3.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.44 (4.92%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.44%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$141.99 / $118.97Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$124.56 / $137.44Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.54%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.60xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$145.88Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$92Range

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