US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish82%
3M Upside probability 82%Bullish

MSTR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $9 and reclaim $543.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $9 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.2, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $128.63 (80.39%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$169.65Bearish
EMA 21$138.36Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.2 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $128.63 · BB 327.09%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 61.6 · OBV 29.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$9 - $543

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+319.74% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$671.63
Nearest resistance

+239.35% · 3.0 ATR above · 30-bar high

$543
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$160.01
Nearest support

-94.38% · 1.2 ATR below · 30-bar low

$9
Deeper support zone

-174.77% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

-$119.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$31.38 - $288.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $457.22, invalidation $81.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.6 / 32.6 / 11.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$293.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.81 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$128.63 (80.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 327.09%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$446.3 / -$160.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.38 / $288.64Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$543Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.2 / 21.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.28%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $457.22, invalidation $81.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.6 / 32.6 / 11.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$293.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.81 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.2 / 21.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$128.63 (80.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 327.09%

55%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$446.3 / -$160.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$31.38 / $288.64Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

29.28%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$543Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

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