US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish74%
3M Upside probability 74%Bullish

MSTR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $9 and reclaim $543.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $9 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $129.99 (88.99%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$166.56Bearish
EMA 21$137.1Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.0 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $129.99 · BB 328.46%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 62.0 · OBV -19.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$9 - $543

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+360.73% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$672.99
Nearest resistance

+271.74% · 3.1 ATR above · 30-bar high

$543
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$146.07
Nearest support

-93.84% · 1.1 ATR below · 30-bar low

$9
Deeper support zone

-182.83% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

-$120.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$16.08 - $276.06

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $457.22, invalidation $81.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.6 / 32.2 / 11.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$308.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.81 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$129.99 (88.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 328.46%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$448.78 / -$165.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.08 / $276.06Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$543Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.5 / 20.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $457.22, invalidation $81.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.6 / 32.2 / 11.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$308.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.81 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

22.5 / 20.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-77.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

6.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$129.99 (88.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 328.46%

52%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$448.78 / -$165.64Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$16.08 / $276.06Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-19.28%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$543Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

Related Forecasts