US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish57%
3M Upside probability 57%Bullish

MSTR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $9 and reclaim $543.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $9 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $124.59 (103.45%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$165.15Bearish
EMA 21$133.23Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.0 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $124.59 · BB 348.12%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.8 · OBV -190.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$9 - $543

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+454.29% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$667.59
Nearest resistance

+350.85% · 3.4 ATR above · 29-bar high

$543
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$120.44
Nearest support

-92.53% · 0.9 ATR below · 29-bar low

$9
Deeper support zone

-195.97% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

-$115.59
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

-$4.15 - $245.03

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197, invalidation $81.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.6 / 33.8 / 12.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$352.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.67 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$124.59 (103.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 348.12%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$442.93 / -$166.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$4.15 / $245.03Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$543Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.2 / 17.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-190.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197, invalidation $81.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.6 / 33.8 / 12.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$352.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.67 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.2 / 17.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-18.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$124.59 (103.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 348.12%

48%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$442.93 / -$166.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

-$4.15 / $245.03Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-190.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$543Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

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