US stock / ETF

Strategy

MSTR · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish60%
3M Upside probability 60%Bullish

MSTR 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $9 and reclaim $543.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $9 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $126.12 (96.3%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$167.49Bearish
EMA 21$134.19Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $126.12 · BB 346.65%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.9 · OBV -112.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$9 - $543

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+410.9% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$669.12
Nearest resistance

+314.6% · 3.3 ATR above · 29-bar high

$543
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$130.97
Nearest support

-93.13% · 1.0 ATR below · 29-bar low

$9
Deeper support zone

-189.43% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

-$117.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$4.85 - $257.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197, invalidation $81.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.6 / 33.4 / 11.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$348.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.67 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$126.12 (96.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 346.65%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$448.23 / -$170.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.85 / $257.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$543Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.2 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-112.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197, invalidation $81.81

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

66.6 / 33.4 / 11.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

-$348.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$294.67 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.2 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$126.12 (96.3%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 346.65%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$448.23 / -$170.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$4.85 / $257.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-112.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.14xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$543Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$9Range

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