US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish75%
4h Upside probability 75%Bullish

MS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $182.47 and reclaim $198.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $182.47 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.5, MACD 0.713

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.87 (0.98%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$190.99Bullish
EMA 21$191.1Bullish
EMA 50$194.78Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.5 · MACD 0.713

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.87 · BB 4.43%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 77.5 · OBV -251.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$182.47 - $198.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.46% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$200.12
Nearest resistance

+3.49% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$198.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$191.57
Nearest support

-4.75% · 4.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$182.47
Deeper support zone

-5.73% · 5.9 ATR below latest close

$180.6
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$189.7 - $193.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $193.14, invalidation $187.58

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 25.2 / 10.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$186.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.68 / $194.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.87 (0.98%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.43%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$194.18 / $187.85Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$189.7 / $193.44Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$182.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.713Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.6 / 84.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

68.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-251.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $193.14, invalidation $187.58

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.2 / 25.2 / 10.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$186.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$189.68 / $194.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

85%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.713Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

82.6 / 84.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-17.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

68.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.87 (0.98%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.43%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$194.18 / $187.85Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$189.7 / $193.44Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-251.44%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.30xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$198.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$182.47Range

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