US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish64%
4h Upside probability 64%Bullish

MS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $176.93 and reclaim $187.1.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $176.93 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.3, MACD 0.279

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.32 (1.26%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$182.85Bullish
EMA 21$182.68Bullish
EMA 50$184.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.3 · MACD 0.279

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.32 · BB 4.34%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 52.8 · OBV 70.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$176.93 - $187.1

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.34% · 2.6 ATR above latest close

$189.42
Nearest resistance

+2.07% · 1.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$187.1
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$183.3
Nearest support

-3.48% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$176.93
Deeper support zone

-4.74% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$174.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$180.98 - $185.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.44, invalidation $186.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.9 / 40.6 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$177.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$182.39 / $185.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.32 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.34%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$186.94 / $178.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$180.98 / $185.62Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$187.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.93Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.279Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.4 / 62.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

36.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

70.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.57xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $179.44, invalidation $186.07

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.9 / 40.6 / 18.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$177.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$182.39 / $185.61Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

63%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.279Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.4 / 62.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

36.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.32 (1.26%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.34%

61%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$186.94 / $178.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$180.98 / $185.62Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

70.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.57xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$187.1Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.93Range

Related Forecasts