US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish91%
4h Upside probability 91%Bullish

MS 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $207.45 and reclaim $219.71.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $207.45 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.8, MACD 0.110

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.76 (0.82%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$214.63Bullish
EMA 21$214.56Bullish
EMA 50$214.89Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.8 · MACD 0.110

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.76 · BB 3.20%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 79.2 · OBV 18.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$207.45 - $219.71

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.07% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$221.46
Nearest resistance

+2.25% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$219.71
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$214.86
Nearest support

-3.45% · 4.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$207.45
Deeper support zone

-4.27% · 5.2 ATR below latest close

$205.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$213.1 - $216.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $217.67, invalidation $213.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 27.9 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$209.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$213.7 / $214.73Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

69%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.76 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.20%

59%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$217.95 / $211.15Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.1 / $216.62Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.110Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.4 / 51.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

41.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.27xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $217.67, invalidation $213.05

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 27.9 / 25.0Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$209.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$213.7 / $214.73Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

69%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.110Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.4 / 51.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

41.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.76 (0.82%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.20%

59%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$217.95 / $211.15Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.1 / $216.62Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

79.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

18.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.27xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$219.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.45Range

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