US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish59%
1h Downside probability 59%Bearish

MS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $217.47 and stabilize above resistance $229.68.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $229.68 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.0, MACD 0.302

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.33 (1.08%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$215.67Bearish
EMA 21$217.47Bearish
EMA 50$220.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.0 · MACD 0.302

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.33 · BB 3.32%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 61.1 · OBV 13.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$207.4 - $229.68

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.66% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$232.01
Nearest resistance

+6.58% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$229.68
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$215.49
Nearest support

-3.76% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$207.4
Deeper support zone

-4.83% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

$205.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$213.16 - $217.82

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.38, invalidation $207.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.9 / 14.4 / 50.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$207.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.49 / $221.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.33 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.32%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.33 / $212.29Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.16 / $217.82Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$229.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.302Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.8 / 68.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

13.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.06xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.38, invalidation $207.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.9 / 14.4 / 50.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$207.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.49 / $221.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.302Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.8 / 68.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.33 (1.08%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.32%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.33 / $212.29Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.16 / $217.82Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

13.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.06xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$229.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$207.4Range

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