US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish86%
1h Downside probability 86%Bearish

MS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $218.9 and stabilize above resistance $228.2.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $228.2 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 28.9, MACD -0.989

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.39 (1.12%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$215.14Bearish
EMA 21$218.9Bearish
EMA 50$220.67Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 28.9 · MACD -0.989

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.39 · BB 8.20%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 33.7 · OBV -51.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$212.13 - $228.2

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.3% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

$230.59
Nearest resistance

+7.18% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$228.2
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$212.91
Nearest support

-0.37% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$212.13
Deeper support zone

-1.49% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$209.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$210.52 - $215.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $212.79, invalidation $226.84

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.3 / 21.6 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$206.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.72 / $221.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.39 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.20%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.81 / $214.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.52 / $215.3Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$212.13Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.989Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 4.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $212.79, invalidation $226.84

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.3 / 21.6 / 35.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$206.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.72 / $221.13Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

28.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.989Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.3 / 4.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-121.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.39 (1.12%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.20%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.81 / $214.61Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.52 / $215.3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-51.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.2Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$212.13Range

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