US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish74%
1h Downside probability 74%Bearish

MS 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $206 and stabilize above resistance $210.47.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $210.47 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.8, MACD -0.205

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.52 (0.75%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$205.04Bearish
EMA 21$206Bearish
EMA 50$208.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.8 · MACD -0.205

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.52 · BB 3.68%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 47.8 · OBV 15.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$200.4 - $210.47

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.3% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$211.99
Nearest resistance

+3.55% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$210.47
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$203.26
Nearest support

-1.41% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$200.4
Deeper support zone

-2.16% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$198.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$201.74 - $204.79

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $205.41, invalidation $208.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.4 / 9.6 / 45.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.3 / $209.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.52 (0.75%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.68%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$209.76 / $202.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.74 / $204.79Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$210.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$200.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.205Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.3 / 24.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

15.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $205.41, invalidation $208.03

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.4 / 9.6 / 45.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.3 / $209.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.205Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.3 / 24.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-136.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.52 (0.75%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.68%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$209.76 / $202.12Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.74 / $204.79Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

15.64%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$210.47Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$200.4Range

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