US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish80%
Weekly Downside probability 80%Bearish

MS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $197.59 and stabilize above resistance $232.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $232.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.3, MACD -5.403

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.76 (5.92%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$190.4Bearish
EMA 21$197.59Bearish
EMA 50$188.53Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.3 · MACD -5.403

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.76 · BB 27.32%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.3 · OBV -13.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$152.8 - $232.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.76% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$243.01
Nearest resistance

+27.83% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$232.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$181.68
Nearest support

-15.9% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$152.8
Deeper support zone

-21.82% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$142.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$170.92 - $192.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $176.44, invalidation $218.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.2 / 2.8 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$151.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$200.91 / $192.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.76 (5.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.32%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.4 / $176.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.92 / $192.44Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$152.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.403Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.5 / 8.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-138.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $176.44, invalidation $218.51

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

43.2 / 2.8 / 36.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$151.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$200.91 / $192.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.403Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.5 / 8.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-138.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.76 (5.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.32%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$218.4 / $176.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.92 / $192.44Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$152.8Range

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