US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish77%
Weekly Upside probability 77%Bullish

MS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $152.8 and reclaim $232.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $152.8 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 61.6, MACD -1.022

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.51 (5.82%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$214.33Bullish
EMA 21$205.53Bullish
EMA 50$186.39Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 61.6 · MACD -1.022

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $12.51 · BB 21.39%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 46.8 · OBV 7.79%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$152.8 - $232.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.92% · 2.4 ATR above latest close

$244.76
Nearest resistance

+8.09% · 1.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$232.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$214.86
Nearest support

-28.88% · 5.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$152.8
Deeper support zone

-34.71% · 6.0 ATR below latest close

$140.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$202.35 - $227.37

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $202.94, invalidation $222

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 23.2 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$177.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.06 / $188.95Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.51 (5.82%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.39%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.94 / $181.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$202.35 / $227.37Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$152.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.022Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.7 / 58.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

44.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $202.94, invalidation $222

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.2 / 23.2 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$177.62Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.06 / $188.95Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

61.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.022Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.7 / 58.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

44.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.51 (5.82%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.39%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.94 / $181.63Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$202.35 / $227.37Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

7.79%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$152.8Range

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