US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish56%
Weekly Downside probability 56%Bearish

MS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $206.89 and stabilize above resistance $232.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $232.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.4, MACD -2.334

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $12.16 (6.01%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$212.14Bearish
EMA 21$206.89Bearish
EMA 50$189.2Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.4 · MACD -2.334

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.16 · BB 15.35%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.0 · OBV 4.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$152.8 - $232.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.74% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$244.41
Nearest resistance

+14.74% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$232.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$202.42
Nearest support

-24.51% · 4.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$152.8
Deeper support zone

-30.52% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$140.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$190.26 - $214.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222, invalidation $207.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 14.6 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$171.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$202.97 / $192.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.16 (6.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.35%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.67 / $184.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.26 / $214.58Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$152.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.334Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.3 / 31.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $222, invalidation $207.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.8 / 14.6 / 27.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$171.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$202.97 / $192.05Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.334Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.3 / 31.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$12.16 (6.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.35%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$230.67 / $184.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$190.26 / $214.58Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$152.8Range

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