US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

MS 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $203.29 and stabilize above resistance $232.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $232.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.9, MACD -4.577

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.19 (5.86%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$201.56Bearish
EMA 21$203.29Bearish
EMA 50$189.58Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.9 · MACD -4.577

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.19 · BB 16.96%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.4 · OBV -1.59%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$152.8 - $232.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+27.44% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$243.44
Nearest resistance

+21.58% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$232.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$191.02
Nearest support

-20.01% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$152.8
Deeper support zone

-25.87% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$141.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$179.83 - $202.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.51, invalidation $207.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 7.7 / 35.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$162.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$202.93 / $192.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.19 (5.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.96%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.07 / $184.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$179.83 / $202.21Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$152.8Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.577Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 12.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-198.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.34xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.51, invalidation $207.32

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.6 / 7.7 / 35.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$162.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$202.93 / $192.07Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.577Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.2 / 12.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-198.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.19 (5.86%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.96%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.07 / $184.11Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$179.83 / $202.21Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.59%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.34xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$152.8Range

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