US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish56%
Daily Downside probability 56%Bearish

MS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $214.88 and stabilize above resistance $232.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $232.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.4, MACD -0.012

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.78 (2.68%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$214.34Bullish
EMA 21$214.88Bullish
EMA 50$211.82Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.4 · MACD -0.012

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.78 · BB 10.49%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.3 · OBV 0.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$202.94 - $232.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.2% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$238.03
Nearest resistance

+7.52% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$232.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$216
Nearest support

-6.05% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$202.94
Deeper support zone

-8.72% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$197.16
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$210.22 - $221.78

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $220.12, invalidation $202.94

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 18.0 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$195.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.56 / $214.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.78 (2.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.49%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$227.21 / $202.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.22 / $221.78Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$202.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.012Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.0 / 76.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $220.12, invalidation $202.94

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.2 / 18.0 / 33.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$195.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$214.56 / $214.63Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.012Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.0 / 76.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.78 (2.68%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.49%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$227.21 / $202.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.22 / $221.78Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.67xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$202.94Range

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