US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

MS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $198.09 and stabilize above resistance $218.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $218.51 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.7, MACD -0.447

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.68 (1.93%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$192.03Bearish
EMA 21$198.09Bearish
EMA 50$204.65Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.7 · MACD -0.447

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.68 · BB 16.25%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 13.8 · OBV -13.56%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$182.47 - $218.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.32% · 8.5 ATR above latest close

$222.19
Nearest resistance

+14.39% · 7.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$218.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$191.02
Nearest support

-4.48% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$182.47
Deeper support zone

-6.4% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$178.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$187.34 - $194.7

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $182.47, invalidation $206.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.4 / 17.7 / 45.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$181.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.36 / $202.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.68 (1.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.25%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$204.37 / $191.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$187.34 / $194.7Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$218.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$182.47Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.447Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.2 / 34.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $182.47, invalidation $206.75

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

56.4 / 17.7 / 45.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$181.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.36 / $202.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.447Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.2 / 34.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.68 (1.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.25%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$204.37 / $191.01Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$187.34 / $194.7Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-13.56%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.09xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$218.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$182.47Range

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