US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 dayRange52%
Daily Range probability 96%Range

MS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $205.83 - $232.25 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.5, MACD -0.996

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.1 (3.3%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$219.39Bearish
EMA 21$218.16Bearish
EMA 50$210.42Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.5 · MACD -0.996

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.1 · BB 10.19%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 53.8 · OBV 0.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$205.83 - $232.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.07% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$239.35
Nearest resistance

+7.77% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$232.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$215.5
Nearest support

-4.49% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$205.83
Deeper support zone

-7.78% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$198.73
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$208.4 - $222.6

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.25, invalidation $216.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

8.2 / 24.2 / 24.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$188.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$219.65 / $209.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.1 (3.3%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.19%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$234.43 / $202.27Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.4 / $222.6Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$205.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.996Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 38.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $232.25, invalidation $216.1

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

8.2 / 24.2 / 24.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$188.76Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$219.65 / $209.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.996Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

34.4 / 38.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-65.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.1 (3.3%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.19%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$234.43 / $202.27Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$208.4 / $222.6Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.99%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$205.83Range

Related Forecasts