US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish73%
Daily Downside probability 73%Bearish

MS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $187.14 and stabilize above resistance $217.76.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $217.76 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 38.5, MACD 0.520

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.95 (2.73%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$182.85Bearish
EMA 21$187.14Bearish
EMA 50$195.62Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.5 · MACD 0.520

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $4.95 · BB 8.61%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 30.7 · OBV -7.69%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$176.44 - $217.76

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.58% · 8.3 ATR above latest close

$222.71
Nearest resistance

+19.86% · 7.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$217.76
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$181.68
Nearest support

-2.89% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$176.44
Deeper support zone

-5.61% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$171.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$176.73 - $186.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $187.16, invalidation $179.29

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.7 / 19.4 / 30.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$165.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$186.77 / $197.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.95 (2.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.61%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$197.44 / $176.09Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$176.73 / $186.63Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$217.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.520Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.1 / 30.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $187.16, invalidation $179.29

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.7 / 19.4 / 30.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$165.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$186.77 / $197.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.520Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.1 / 30.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.95 (2.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.61%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$197.44 / $176.09Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$176.73 / $186.63Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.69%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.03xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$217.76Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.44Range

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