US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish60%
Daily Downside probability 60%Bearish

MS 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $215.12 and stabilize above resistance $232.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $232.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.6, MACD -0.062

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.17 (1.94%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$214.88Bearish
EMA 21$215.12Bearish
EMA 50$213.44Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.6 · MACD -0.062

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.17 · BB 5.13%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 47.7 · OBV 2.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$202.94 - $232.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.03% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$236.42
Nearest resistance

+8.09% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$232.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$214.86
Nearest support

-5.55% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$202.94
Deeper support zone

-7.49% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$198.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$210.69 - $219.03

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $217.34, invalidation $211.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 14.4 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$202.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.76 / $217.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.17 (1.94%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.13%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.41 / $206.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.69 / $219.03Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$202.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.062Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.4 / 49.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-20.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $217.34, invalidation $211.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.9 / 14.4 / 28.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$202.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.76 / $217.6Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.062Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

51.4 / 49.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-48.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-20.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.17 (1.94%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.13%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.41 / $206.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$210.69 / $219.03Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

47.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.65%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.16xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$232.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$202.94Range

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