US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBullish64%
12h Upside probability 64%Bullish

MS 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $186.53 and reclaim $230.12.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $186.53 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.8, MACD -0.873

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.03 (2.83%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$219.59Bearish
EMA 21$214.82Bearish
EMA 50$203.69Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.8 · MACD -0.873

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $6.03 · BB 11.34%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 58.7 · OBV 31.14%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$186.53 - $230.12

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+10.92% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$236.15
Nearest resistance

+8.08% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$230.12
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$212.91
Nearest support

-12.39% · 4.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$186.53
Deeper support zone

-15.22% · 5.4 ATR below latest close

$180.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$206.88 - $218.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.12, invalidation $205.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.5 / 24.8 / 23.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.64 / $205.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.03 (2.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.34%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$227.46 / $203.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$206.88 / $218.94Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$230.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$186.53Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.873Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.1 / 52.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-20.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

31.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.12, invalidation $205.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.5 / 24.8 / 23.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.64 / $205.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.873Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.1 / 52.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-20.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.03 (2.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.34%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$227.46 / $203.07Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$206.88 / $218.94Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

31.14%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$230.12Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$186.53Range

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