US stock / ETF

Morgan Stanley

MS · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish76%
12h Downside probability 76%Bearish

MS 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $221.4 and stabilize above resistance $234.67.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $234.67 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.7, MACD -1.076

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.58 (2.59%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$221.19Bearish
EMA 21$221.4Bearish
EMA 50$218.09Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.7 · MACD -1.076

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.58 · BB 8.48%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.0 · OBV -704.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$206.72 - $234.67

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.49% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$240.25
Nearest resistance

+8.9% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$234.67
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$215.49
Nearest support

-4.07% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$206.72
Deeper support zone

-6.66% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$201.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$209.91 - $221.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $234.67, invalidation $218.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 21.2 / 39.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$220.86 / $220.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.58 (2.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.48%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$234.62 / $208.32Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.91 / $221.07Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.67Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$206.72Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.076Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.7 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-704.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.66xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $234.67, invalidation $218.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.4 / 21.2 / 39.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$193.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$220.86 / $220.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.076Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.7 / 18.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.58 (2.59%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.48%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$234.62 / $208.32Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.91 / $221.07Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-704.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.66xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.67Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$206.72Range

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