US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish83%
Daily Downside probability 83%Bearish

CME 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $250.13 and stabilize above resistance $307.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $307.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 22.2, MACD -3.013

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.29 (3.75%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$234.46Bearish
EMA 21$250.13Bearish
EMA 50$267.18Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 22.2 · MACD -3.013

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.29 · BB 22.44%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 26.0 · OBV -33.00%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$220.81 - $307.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+43.02% · 11.5 ATR above latest close

$316.15
Nearest resistance

+39.27% · 10.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$307.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$221.05
Nearest support

-0.11% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$220.81
Deeper support zone

-3.86% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$212.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$212.76 - $229.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.71, invalidation $249.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.2 / 15.0 / 37.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.11 / $264.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.29 (3.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.44%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.26 / $232.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$212.76 / $229.34Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$307.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$220.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.013Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 1.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-178.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.71, invalidation $249.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.2 / 15.0 / 37.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$197.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.11 / $264.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.013Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.5 / 1.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-178.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.29 (3.75%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.44%

-1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$266.26 / $232.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$212.76 / $229.34Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-33.00%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$307.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$220.81Range

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