US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish71%
Daily Downside probability 71%Bearish

CME 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $275.11 and stabilize above resistance $289.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $289.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.1, MACD -1.759

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.56 (2.04%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$275.47Bearish
EMA 21$275.11Bearish
EMA 50$269.97Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD -1.759

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.56 · BB 6.66%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.6 · OBV -3.75%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$256.83 - $289.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.44% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$295.46
Nearest resistance

+6.4% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$289.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$272.46
Nearest support

-5.74% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$256.83
Deeper support zone

-7.78% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$251.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$266.9 - $278.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $271.3, invalidation $281

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 15.7 / 31.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$257.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$274.97 / $262.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.56 (2.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.66%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$285.36 / $265.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.9 / $278.02Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$289.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$256.83Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.759Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $271.3, invalidation $281

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.1 / 15.7 / 31.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$257.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$274.97 / $262.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.759Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 14.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.56 (2.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.66%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$285.36 / $265.25Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$266.9 / $278.02Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.75%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$289.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$256.83Range

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