US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

LITE 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $814.31 and stabilize above resistance $996.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $996 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.5, MACD -0.549

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $29.79 (3.93%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$776.79Bearish
EMA 21$814.31Bearish
EMA 50$878.32Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.5 · MACD -0.549

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $29.79 · BB 19.91%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 24.4 · OBV -45.20%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$739 - $996

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.35% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$1,025.8
Nearest resistance

+31.42% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$996
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$757.9
Nearest support

-2.49% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$739
Deeper support zone

-6.42% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$709.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$728.11 - $787.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $739, invalidation $794.88

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 19.1 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$674.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$809.5 / $941Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$29.79 (3.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.91%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$870.73 / $752.18Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$728.11 / $787.69Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$996Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$739Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.549Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.5 / 19.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $739, invalidation $794.88

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.4 / 19.1 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$674.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$809.5 / $941Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.549Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.5 / 19.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$29.79 (3.93%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.91%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$870.73 / $752.18Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$728.11 / $787.69Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-45.20%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.35xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$996Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$739Range

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