US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

LITE 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $935.83 and stabilize above resistance $1,026.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,026.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.8, MACD -5.699

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $25.22 (2.72%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$941.71Bearish
EMA 21$935.83Bearish
EMA 50$914.91Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.8 · MACD -5.699

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.22 · BB 18.88%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 41.8 · OBV -23.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$818.89 - $1,026.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.54% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$1,052
Nearest resistance

+10.82% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,026.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$926.5
Nearest support

-11.61% · 4.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$818.89
Deeper support zone

-14.34% · 5.3 ATR below latest close

$793.67
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$901.28 - $951.72

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $914.65, invalidation $970.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.4 / 19.3 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$855.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$938.46 / $922.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$25.22 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.88%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$984.35 / $889.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$901.28 / $951.72Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,026.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$818.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.699Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 29.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $914.65, invalidation $970.73

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.4 / 19.3 / 29.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$855.68Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$938.46 / $922.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.699Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.6 / 29.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-25.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$25.22 (2.72%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.88%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$984.35 / $889.11Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$901.28 / $951.72Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.36xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,026.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$818.89Range

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