US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish71%
4h Downside probability 71%Bearish

LITE 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $875.49 and stabilize above resistance $999.68.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $999.68 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.9, MACD -1.148

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $29.43 (3.4%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$868.92Bearish
EMA 21$875.49Bearish
EMA 50$864.8Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.9 · MACD -1.148

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $29.43 · BB 21.49%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.5 · OBV -20.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$777.5 - $999.68

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.83% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$1,029.1
Nearest resistance

+15.43% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$999.68
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$866.04
Nearest support

-10.22% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$777.5
Deeper support zone

-13.62% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$748.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$836.61 - $895.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $909.25, invalidation $857.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 18.9 / 13.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$789.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$884.06 / $888.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$29.43 (3.4%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.49%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$925.49 / $824.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$836.61 / $895.47Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$999.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$777.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.148Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.7 / 44.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $909.25, invalidation $857.21

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.8 / 18.9 / 13.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$789.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$884.06 / $888.59Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

28%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.148Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

54.7 / 44.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-45.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$29.43 (3.4%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.49%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$925.49 / $824.92Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$836.61 / $895.47Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.88%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$999.68Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$777.5Range

Related Forecasts