US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBullish62%
Weekly Upside probability 62%Bullish

LITE 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $320.31 and reclaim $1,085.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $320.31 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 60.2, MACD -8.172

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $161.34 (17.4%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$873.13Bullish
EMA 21$819.86Bullish
EMA 50$652.81Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.2 · MACD -8.172

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $161.34 · BB 35.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.9 · OBV -5.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$320.31 - $1,085.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.52% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$1,247
Nearest resistance

+17.11% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,085.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$927.03
Nearest support

-65.45% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$320.31
Deeper support zone

-82.85% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$158.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$765.69 - $1,088.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $594.84, invalidation $1,049.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 21.1 / 15.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$464.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$820.25 / $615.1Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$161.34 (17.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.21%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,152.3 / $497.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$765.69 / $1,088.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$320.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.172Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.9 / 68.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

95.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $594.84, invalidation $1,049.5

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 21.1 / 15.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$464.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$820.25 / $615.1Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

68%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.2Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.172Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

76.9 / 68.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-23.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

95.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$161.34 (17.4%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 35.21%

72%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,152.3 / $497.72Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$765.69 / $1,088.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.60xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$320.31Range

Related Forecasts