US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish58%
Weekly Downside probability 58%Bearish

LITE 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $816.37 and stabilize above resistance $1,143.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,143 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.9, MACD -47.654

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $168.13 (26.92%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$768.86Bearish
EMA 21$816.37Bearish
EMA 50$707.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.9 · MACD -47.654

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $168.13 · BB 64.25%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.6 · OBV 28.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$506.69 - $1,143

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+109.9% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$1,311.1
Nearest resistance

+82.98% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,143
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$624.65
Nearest support

-18.88% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$506.69
Deeper support zone

-45.8% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$338.56
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$456.52 - $792.78

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,143, invalidation $594.84

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.6 / 19.5 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$824.84 / $686.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$168.13 (26.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.25%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,172.7 / $461.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$456.52 / $792.78Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,143Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$506.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-47.654Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.5 / 22.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-157.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,143, invalidation $594.84

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.6 / 19.5 / 25.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$824.84 / $686.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

19%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-47.654Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.5 / 22.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-81.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-157.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$168.13 (26.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 64.25%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,172.7 / $461.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$456.52 / $792.78Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,143Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$506.69Range

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