US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

LITE 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $37.99 and reclaim $1,085.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $37.99 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 78.5, MACD 54.318

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $186.31 (21.5%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$717.02Bullish
EMA 21$475.38Bullish
EMA 50$281.42Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 78.5 · MACD 54.318

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $186.31 · BB 331.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 77.2 · OBV 1161.88%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$37.99 - $1,085.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+46.76% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$1,272
Nearest resistance

+25.26% · 1.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,085.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$866.71
Nearest support

-95.62% · 4.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$37.99
Deeper support zone

-117.11% · 5.4 ATR below latest close

-$148.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$680.4 - $1,053

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,085.7, invalidation $45.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.6 / 40.6 / 8.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$624.54 / $560.52Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$186.31 (21.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 331.91%

87%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$974.71 / $1.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$680.4 / $1,053Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$37.99Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

78.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

54.318Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.0 / 73.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

104.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1161.88%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $1,085.7, invalidation $45.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.6 / 40.6 / 8.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$89.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$624.54 / $560.52Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

79%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

78.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

54.318Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

78.0 / 73.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

104.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$186.31 (21.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 331.91%

87%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$974.71 / $1.92Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$680.4 / $1,053Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

77.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1161.88%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$37.99Range

Related Forecasts