US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish64%
3M Upside probability 64%Bullish

LITE 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $35.37 and reclaim $1,085.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $35.37 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 92.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $104.86 (12.67%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$397.68Bullish
EMA 21$218.39Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 92.8 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $104.86 · BB 543.88%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 93.4 · OBV 870.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$35.37 - $1,085

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+43.78% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$1,189.9
Nearest resistance

+31.11% · 2.5 ATR above · 24-bar high

$1,085
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$827.59
Nearest support

-95.73% · 7.6 ATR below · 24-bar low

$35.37
Deeper support zone

-108.4% · 8.6 ATR below latest close

-$69.49
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$722.73 - $932.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.93, invalidation $45.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$477.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$104.86 (12.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 543.88%

128%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$507.22 / -$51.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$722.73 / $932.44Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$35.37Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

92.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

75.5 / 84.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.5Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

360.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

93.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

870.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $103.93, invalidation $45.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$477.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

92.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

75.5 / 84.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-24.5Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

360.8Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$104.86 (12.67%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 543.88%

128%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$507.22 / -$51.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$722.73 / $932.44Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

93.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

870.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.81xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$35.37Range

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