US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish82%
12h Downside probability 82%Bearish

LITE 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $885.15 and stabilize above resistance $1,085.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,085 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.0, MACD -7.600

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $77.26 (9.28%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$864.72Bearish
EMA 21$885.15Bearish
EMA 50$867.06Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.0 · MACD -7.600

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $77.26 · BB 22.00%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.0 · OBV 2.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$776.92 - $1,085

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.63% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$1,162.3
Nearest resistance

+30.35% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,085
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$832.39
Nearest support

-6.66% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$776.92
Deeper support zone

-15.95% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$699.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$755.13 - $909.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776.92, invalidation $905.37

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.8 / 14.5 / 22.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$637.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$908.16 / $930.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$77.26 (9.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.00%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,017 / $751.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$755.13 / $909.65Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$776.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.600Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.2 / 29.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.06%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776.92, invalidation $905.37

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

10.8 / 14.5 / 22.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$637.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$908.16 / $930.96Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.600Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.2 / 29.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$77.26 (9.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.00%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,017 / $751.76Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$755.13 / $909.65Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.06%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.39xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,085Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$776.92Range

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