US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish75%
12h Downside probability 75%Bearish

LITE 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $652.58 and stabilize above resistance $1,078.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,078 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 43.6, MACD 13.759

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $50.04 (7.97%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$614.05Bullish
EMA 21$652.58Bearish
EMA 50$748.84Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.6 · MACD 13.759

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $50.04 · BB 57.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 28.2 · OBV -356.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$498 - $1,078

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+79.77% · 10.0 ATR above latest close

$1,128
Nearest resistance

+71.79% · 9.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,078
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$627.5
Nearest support

-20.64% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$498
Deeper support zone

-28.61% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$447.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$577.46 - $677.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $678.67, invalidation $512

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.6 / 20.8 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$484.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$691.67 / $820.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.04 (7.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.21%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$734.93 / $562.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$577.46 / $677.54Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,078Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$498Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

13.759Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

71.1 / 65.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-28.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-356.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $678.67, invalidation $512

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

53.6 / 20.8 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$484.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$691.67 / $820.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

13.759Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

71.1 / 65.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-28.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.7Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.04 (7.97%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.21%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$734.93 / $562.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$577.46 / $677.54Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-356.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.28xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,078Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$498Range

Related Forecasts