US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

LITE 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $866.49 and stabilize above resistance $1,143.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,143 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.1, MACD -10.332

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $46.45 (6.13%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$800.92Bearish
EMA 21$866.49Bearish
EMA 50$914.84Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.1 · MACD -10.332

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $46.45 · BB 39.55%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 16.3 · OBV -134.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$739 - $1,143

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+56.94% · 9.3 ATR above latest close

$1,189.5
Nearest resistance

+50.81% · 8.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,143
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$757.9
Nearest support

-2.49% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$739
Deeper support zone

-8.62% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$692.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$711.45 - $804.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $878.9, invalidation $739

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.8 / 12.0 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$629.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$874.98 / $941Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$46.45 (6.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.55%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$951.35 / $773.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$711.45 / $804.36Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,143Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$739Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.332Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 10.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-134.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.45xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $878.9, invalidation $739

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.8 / 12.0 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$629.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$874.98 / $941Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.332Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.7 / 10.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-111.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$46.45 (6.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.55%

17%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$951.35 / $773.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$711.45 / $804.36Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

16.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-134.93%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.45xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,143Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$739Range

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