US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish82%
1h Downside probability 82%Bearish

LITE 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $772.99 and stabilize above resistance $859.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $859 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD 1.908

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $16.21 (2.14%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$765.48Bearish
EMA 21$772.99Bearish
EMA 50$795.48Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD 1.908

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $16.21 · BB 7.28%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.6 · OBV -8.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$739 - $859

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.48% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$875.21
Nearest resistance

+13.34% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$859
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$757.9
Nearest support

-2.49% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$739
Deeper support zone

-4.63% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$722.79
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$741.7 - $774.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $782.22, invalidation $743.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.9 / 25.7 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$720.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$768.89 / $808.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$16.21 (2.14%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.28%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$800.93 / $743.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$741.7 / $774.11Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$859Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$739Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.908Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.8 / 40.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $782.22, invalidation $743.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.9 / 25.7 / 28.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$720.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$768.89 / $808.95Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.908Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.8 / 40.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-22.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$16.21 (2.14%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.28%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$800.93 / $743.51Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$741.7 / $774.11Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.13xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$859Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$739Range

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