US stock / ETF

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

LITE · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish85%
1h Downside probability 85%Bearish

LITE 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $872.61 and stabilize above resistance $909.25.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $909.25 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.6, MACD -2.576

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $12.42 (1.43%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$872.15Bearish
EMA 21$872.61Bearish
EMA 50$874.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.6 · MACD -2.576

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.42 · BB 5.33%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.8 · OBV -3.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$813.67 - $909.25

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.42% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$921.67
Nearest resistance

+4.99% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$909.25
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$866.04
Nearest support

-6.05% · 4.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$813.67
Deeper support zone

-7.48% · 5.2 ATR below latest close

$801.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$853.62 - $878.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $857.21, invalidation $873.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.1 / 23.1 / 22.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$825.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$872.34 / $861.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.42 (1.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.33%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$898.98 / $846.57Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$853.62 / $878.46Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$909.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$813.67Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.576Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.0 / 22.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.95xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $857.21, invalidation $873.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.1 / 23.1 / 22.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$825.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$872.34 / $861.57Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.576Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.0 / 22.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.42 (1.43%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.33%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$898.98 / $846.57Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$853.62 / $878.46Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.95xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$909.25Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$813.67Range

Related Forecasts