US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish92%
4h Upside probability 92%Bullish

IBM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $225.79 and reclaim $270.14.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $225.79 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 67.3, MACD 0.813

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $6.8 (2.69%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$248.91Bullish
EMA 21$243.2Bullish
EMA 50$236.69Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 67.3 · MACD 0.813

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $6.8 · BB 11.20%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 98.2 · OBV 6.52%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$225.79 - $270.14

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.53% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$276.94
Nearest resistance

+6.84% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$270.14
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$252.85
Nearest support

-10.7% · 4.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$225.79
Deeper support zone

-13.39% · 5.0 ATR below latest close

$218.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$246.05 - $259.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $270.14, invalidation $230.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.5 / 52.8 / 4.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$249.27 / $244.52Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.8 (2.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.20%

89%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$260.1 / $227Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$246.05 / $259.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$270.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.813Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.0 / 52.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

123.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

98.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $270.14, invalidation $230.85

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

57.5 / 52.8 / 4.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$228.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$249.27 / $244.52Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

58%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

67.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.813Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

56.0 / 52.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.0Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

123.6Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$6.8 (2.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.20%

89%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$260.1 / $227Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$246.05 / $259.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

98.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.52%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$270.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$225.79Range

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