US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish69%
4h Upside probability 69%Bullish

IBM 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $199.19 and reclaim $230.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $199.19 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 57.5, MACD 0.461

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.55 (1.57%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$225.59Bullish
EMA 21$223.2Bullish
EMA 50$225.83Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 57.5 · MACD 0.461

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $3.55 · BB 5.68%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.7 · OBV -4.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$199.19 - $230.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.26% · 2.1 ATR above latest close

$234.15
Nearest resistance

+1.7% · 1.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$230.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$226.75
Nearest support

-12.15% · 7.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.19
Deeper support zone

-13.72% · 8.8 ATR below latest close

$195.64
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$223.2 - $230.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.6, invalidation $216.59

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 19.6 / 22.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$217.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$222.58 / $214.89Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.55 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.68%

68%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229.71 / $216.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.2 / $230.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$230.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.461Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.5 / 77.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

62.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.6, invalidation $216.59

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 19.6 / 22.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$217.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$222.58 / $214.89Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

57.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.461Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.5 / 77.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

62.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.55 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.68%

68%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$229.71 / $216.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$223.2 / $230.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$230.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

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