US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

IBM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $246.25 and stabilize above resistance $297.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $297.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 16.0, MACD -3.190

1h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.88 (4.06%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$224.55Bearish
EMA 21$246.25Bearish
EMA 50$267.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 16.0 · MACD -3.190

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.88 · BB 54.43%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.9 · OBV -120.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$213.22 - $297.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+40.16% · 9.9 ATR above latest close

$306.38
Nearest resistance

+36.1% · 8.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$297.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$218.59
Nearest support

-2.46% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$213.22
Deeper support zone

-6.52% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$204.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$209.71 - $227.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $297.5, invalidation $213.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.3 / 5.0 / 67.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$184.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$238.47 / $256Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.88 (4.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.43%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$267.49 / $222.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.71 / $227.47Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$297.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

16.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.190Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 7.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-120.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.36xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $297.5, invalidation $213.22

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.3 / 5.0 / 67.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$184.04Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$238.47 / $256Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

16.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.190Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.1 / 7.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-73.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.88 (4.06%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.43%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$267.49 / $222.4Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$209.71 / $227.47Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-120.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.36xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$297.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.22Range

Related Forecasts