US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish69%
1h Downside probability 69%Bearish

IBM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $246.17 and stabilize above resistance $249.38.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $249.38 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.0, MACD -0.260

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.33 (0.54%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$245.87Bearish
EMA 21$246.17Bearish
EMA 50$246.27Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.0 · MACD -0.260

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.33 · BB 1.66%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 8.4 · OBV -0.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$242.88 - $249.38

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.28% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$250.71
Nearest resistance

+1.74% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$249.38
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$245.12
Nearest support

-0.92% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$242.88
Deeper support zone

-1.46% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$241.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$243.79 - $246.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $249.38, invalidation $244.37

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.4 / 21.8 / 30.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$240.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$246.5 / $246.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.33 (0.54%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.66%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$249.16 / $243.19Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$243.79 / $246.45Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$249.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$242.88Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.260Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.1 / 17.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-167.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

8.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $249.38, invalidation $244.37

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.4 / 21.8 / 30.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$240.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$246.5 / $246.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.260Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.1 / 17.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-167.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.33 (0.54%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.66%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$249.16 / $243.19Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$243.79 / $246.45Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

8.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$249.38Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$242.88Range

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