US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish62%
1h Downside probability 62%Bearish

IBM 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $224.23 and stabilize above resistance $234.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $234.27 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.1, MACD -0.609

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.12 (0.5%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$223.1Bearish
EMA 21$224.23Bearish
EMA 50$224.18Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.1 · MACD -0.609

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.12 · BB 3.77%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 78.9 · OBV 5.28%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$218.33 - $234.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.73% · 11.3 ATR above latest close

$235.39
Nearest resistance

+5.22% · 10.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$234.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$222.64
Nearest support

-1.94% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$218.33
Deeper support zone

-2.44% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$217.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$221.52 - $223.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $227.53, invalidation $225.62

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.0 / 13.9 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$226.34 / $226.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.12 (0.5%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.77%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.71 / $221.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.52 / $223.76Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.609Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.5 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

78.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.28%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

8.99xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $227.53, invalidation $225.62

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.0 / 13.9 / 36.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$226.34 / $226.3Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.609Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.5 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-97.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.12 (0.5%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.77%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.71 / $221.7Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.52 / $223.76Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

78.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.28%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

8.99xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$234.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.33Range

Related Forecasts