US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBullish90%
3M Upside probability 90%Bullish

IBM 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $105.92 and reclaim $332.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $105.92 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 65.0, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $51.89 (19.59%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$250.05Bullish
EMA 21$192.68Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 65.0 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $51.89 · BB 127.58%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 76.1 · OBV 61.41%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$105.92 - $332.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+45.04% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$384.29
Nearest resistance

+25.46% · 1.3 ATR above · 24-bar high

$332.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$264.96
Nearest support

-60.02% · 3.1 ATR below · 24-bar low

$105.92
Deeper support zone

-79.61% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$54.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$213.06 - $316.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $324.83, invalidation $214.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$82.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

69%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$51.89 (19.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 127.58%

81%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$324.28 / $71.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.06 / $316.85Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.92Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

68.2 / 71.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-31.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

102.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

61.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.73xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $324.83, invalidation $214.65

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$82.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

69%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

65.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

68.2 / 71.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-31.8Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

102.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$51.89 (19.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 127.58%

81%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$324.28 / $71.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$213.06 / $316.85Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

76.1Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

61.41%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.73xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$105.92Range

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