US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish62%
12h Downside probability 62%Bearish

IBM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $265.81 and stabilize above resistance $332.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $332.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.0, MACD -3.948

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $11.29 (4.28%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$264.15Bearish
EMA 21$265.81Bearish
EMA 50$259.35Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.0 · MACD -3.948

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.29 · BB 30.21%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 18.2 · OBV 297.44%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$212.35 - $332.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.19% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$343.69
Nearest resistance

+25.91% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$263.99
Nearest support

-19.56% · 4.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$212.35
Deeper support zone

-23.84% · 5.6 ATR below latest close

$201.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$252.7 - $275.28

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.4, invalidation $243.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.0 / 13.4 / 38.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$229.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$267.59 / $272.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.29 (4.28%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.21%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$286.47 / $245.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$252.7 / $275.28Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$212.35Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.948Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 22.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

297.44%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.4, invalidation $243.76

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.0 / 13.4 / 38.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$229.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$267.59 / $272.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

23%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.948Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.3 / 22.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-69.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-63.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$11.29 (4.28%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.21%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$286.47 / $245.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$252.7 / $275.28Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

297.44%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$212.35Range

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