US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBullish70%
12h Upside probability 70%Bullish

IBM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $199.19 and reclaim $298.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $199.19 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.3, MACD 3.249

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $5.73 (2.53%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$224.06Bullish
EMA 21$224.04Bullish
EMA 50$236.41Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.3 · MACD 3.249

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $5.73 · BB 14.87%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.8 · OBV -6.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$199.19 - $298.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.29% · 13.6 ATR above latest close

$304.5
Nearest resistance

+31.76% · 12.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$298.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$226.75
Nearest support

-12.15% · 4.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.19
Deeper support zone

-14.68% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$193.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$221.02 - $232.48

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.32, invalidation $216.59

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.8 / 36.6 / 10.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$209.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.88 / $255.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

88%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.73 (2.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.87%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$235.58 / $211.83Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.02 / $232.48Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$298.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.249Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.8 / 85.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

100.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $230.32, invalidation $216.59

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.8 / 36.6 / 10.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$209.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$218.88 / $255.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

88%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.249Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

84.8 / 85.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-15.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

100.4Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$5.73 (2.53%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 14.87%

79%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$235.58 / $211.83Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.02 / $232.48Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$298.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

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