US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBullish92%
12h Upside probability 92%Bullish

IBM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $228.9 and reclaim $243.85.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $228.9 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 63.4, MACD 0.683

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.09 (1.69%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$236.66Bullish
EMA 21$234.97Bullish
EMA 50$234.67Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 63.4 · MACD 0.683

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $4.09 · BB 5.20%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 67.6 · OBV 2.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$228.9 - $243.85

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.06% · 1.2 ATR above latest close

$247.94
Nearest resistance

+0.38% · 0.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$243.85
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$242.93
Nearest support

-5.78% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$228.9
Deeper support zone

-7.46% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$224.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$238.84 - $247.02

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240, invalidation $230.36

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 39.4 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$225.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.74 / $235.64Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.09 (1.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.20%

120%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$243.81 / $226.27Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.84 / $247.02Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$228.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.683Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.8 / 62.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-6.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

191.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.96xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $240, invalidation $230.36

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 39.4 / 19.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$225.81Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$236.74 / $235.64Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

94%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

63.4Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.683Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

93.8 / 62.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-6.2Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

191.5Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.09 (1.69%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.20%

120%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$243.81 / $226.27Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.84 / $247.02Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

67.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.35%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.96xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$243.85Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$228.9Range

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