US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish74%
12h Downside probability 74%Bearish

IBM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $276.04 and stabilize above resistance $311.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $311.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 23.9, MACD -8.375

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.1 (6.45%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$263.37Bearish
EMA 21$276.04Bearish
EMA 50$274.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 23.9 · MACD -8.375

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.1 · BB 31.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 28.6 · OBV -25.12%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$213.22 - $311.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+49.09% · 7.6 ATR above latest close

$325.9
Nearest resistance

+42.64% · 6.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$311.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$218.59
Nearest support

-2.46% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$213.22
Deeper support zone

-8.91% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$199.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$204.49 - $232.69

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $298.77, invalidation $284.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.8 / 15.0 / 52.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$172.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$260.52 / $262.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.1 (6.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.49%

-23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$308.38 / $243.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$204.49 / $232.69Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$311.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

23.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.375Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 11.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-344.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

9.25xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $298.77, invalidation $284.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.8 / 15.0 / 52.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$172.72Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$260.52 / $262.51Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

23.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.375Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.4 / 11.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-344.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.1 (6.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 31.49%

-23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$308.38 / $243.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$204.49 / $232.69Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-25.12%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

9.25xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$311.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$213.22Range

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