US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish71%
12h Downside probability 71%Bearish

IBM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $247.04 and stabilize above resistance $270.14.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $270.14 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD -0.776

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.02 (1.64%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$246.19Bearish
EMA 21$247.04Bearish
EMA 50$244Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD -0.776

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.02 · BB 7.31%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 44.8 · OBV 2.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$230.85 - $270.14

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.84% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$274.16
Nearest resistance

+10.21% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$270.14
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$245.12
Nearest support

-5.82% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$230.85
Deeper support zone

-7.46% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$226.83
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$241.11 - $249.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $248.77, invalidation $242.7

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.8 / 26.1 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$248.36 / $244.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.02 (1.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.31%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.63 / $240.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$241.11 / $249.14Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$270.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$230.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.776Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 33.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $248.77, invalidation $242.7

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.8 / 26.1 / 28.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$248.36 / $244.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.776Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.5 / 33.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.02 (1.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.31%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$253.63 / $240.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$241.11 / $249.14Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.39xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$270.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$230.85Range

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