US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

IBM 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $227.51 and stabilize above resistance $254.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $254.43 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.5, MACD 0.202

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.44 (1.99%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$224.88Bearish
EMA 21$227.51Bearish
EMA 50$231.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.5 · MACD 0.202

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.44 · BB 8.54%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.2 · OBV -57.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$218.33 - $254.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.27% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$258.87
Nearest resistance

+14.28% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$254.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$222.64
Nearest support

-1.94% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$218.33
Deeper support zone

-3.93% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$213.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$218.2 - $227.08

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.33, invalidation $234.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.5 / 22.2 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$209.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.34 / $236.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.44 (1.99%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.54%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$237.19 / $217.43Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.2 / $227.08Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$254.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.33Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.202Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.0 / 36.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-57.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.72xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.33, invalidation $234.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.5 / 22.2 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$209.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$231.34 / $236.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.202Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.0 / 36.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-55.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.44 (1.99%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.54%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$237.19 / $217.43Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$218.2 / $227.08Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-57.13%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.72xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$254.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.33Range

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